How XRP reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 29 July 2022

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, XRP's price swung 2.02 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.70 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

2.02x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
2.91x
usual for PCE: 1.97x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.3662
15 minutes later
−0.76%
One hour later
−0.03%
range 1.42%, hour before 1.34%
XRP/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.3692
Close
0.3696
24h change
0.11%
24h high
0.3799
24h low
0.3596
24h volume
270.415M XRP

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 29 July 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.9% for June 2022, against 0.6% in May 2022. Prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How XRP moved

XRP was at $0.3662 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.76% lower, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.42% of its price, against 1.34% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

XRP's volatility ratio was 2.02x, against 1.70x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.91x, against a typical 1.97x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved XRP less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.50x across 17, against 1.93x across 50. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 27 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.02x compares with 1.93x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 67 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's median volatility ratio is 1.70x.

How it compares

Across 67 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's usual price swing is 1.70x. This one was 1.19 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.70x. Thick line: this release, 2.02x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.3679 0.3657 0.3659 -0.08% 0.60% 0.14% 1.383M XRP
5 minutes 0.3679 0.3647 0.3659 -0.08% 0.87% 0.16% 3.469M XRP
10 minutes 0.3679 0.3643 0.3643 -0.52% 0.98% 0.52% 5.187M XRP
15 minutes 0.3679 0.3633 0.3634 -0.77% 1.25% 0.52% 6.842M XRP
30 minutes 0.3679 0.3631 0.3648 -0.38% 1.30% 0.57% 11.263M XRP
1 hour 0.3679 0.3627 0.3661 -0.03% 1.41% 1.32% 17.64M XRP
2 hours 0.3728 0.3627 0.3722 1.61% 2.71% 2.89% 34.986M XRP
4 hours 0.3728 0.3624 0.3628 -0.94% 2.79% 2.89% 65.082M XRP
6 hours 0.3728 0.3596 0.365 -0.33% 3.54% 3.66% 80.737M XRP
8 hours 0.3768 0.3624 0.3628 -2.21% 3.82% 3.16% 111.066M XRP
12 hours 0.374 0.3596 0.3696 0.92% 3.85% 3.69% 121.909M XRP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 2.23x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.93x 1.79x Ordinary
XRP 2.02x 1.70x Ordinary
BNB 1.41x 1.78x Quiet
Solana 1.50x 1.58x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.84x 1.51x Ordinary
TRON 3.21x 1.42x Exceptional
Cardano 1.48x 1.88x Quiet
Chainlink 1.35x 1.61x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 2.30x 1.67x Strong
Hedera 1.89x 1.48x Ordinary
Avalanche 1.73x 1.55x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.92x 1.64x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 1.84x 1.74x Ordinary
Uniswap 0.97x 1.48x Quiet
Polkadot 1.30x 1.49x Quiet
Aave 1.64x 1.57x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 1.48x 1.37x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.32x 1.50x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.56x 1.56x Ordinary
Filecoin 1.89x 1.50x Ordinary

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for XRP

Questions about this page

Is 2.02x a lot?

For a PCE release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.70x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range XRP moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.