How Aptos reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 28 February 2025

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Aptos's price swung 1.91 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.70 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.34% higher.

1.91x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
4.14x
usual for PCE: 2.60x
Price at 8:30 AM
$5.960
15 minutes later
+1.17%
One hour later
+1.34%
range 2.52%, hour before 3.36%
APT/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
6.000
Close
6.370
24h change
5.81%
24h high
6.510
24h low
5.630
24h volume
14.046M APT

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 28 February 2025 at 8:30 AM EST. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.4% for January 2025, against 0.3% in December 2024. Prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Aptos moved

Aptos was at $5.960 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.17% higher, and an hour later 1.34% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.52% of its price, against 3.36% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Aptos's volatility ratio was 1.91x, against 1.70x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.14x, against a typical 2.60x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Aptos about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.73x across 16, against 1.70x across 33. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.91x compares with 1.70x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 49 PCE releases since 2021, Aptos's median volatility ratio is 1.70x.

How it compares

Across 49 PCE releases since 2021, Aptos's usual price swing is 1.70x. This one was 1.12 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.70x. Thick line: this release, 1.91x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 6.08 5.96 6.05 1.49% 1.97% 0.33% 158,363 APT
5 minutes 6.08 5.96 6.03 1.16% 1.97% 0.83% 301,646 APT
10 minutes 6.08 5.96 6.04 1.32% 1.97% 1.32% 392,098 APT
15 minutes 6.08 5.96 6.03 1.16% 1.97% 1.32% 447,935 APT
30 minutes 6.08 5.96 6.06 1.65% 1.97% 1.99% 627,603 APT
1 hour 6.11 5.96 6.04 1.32% 2.45% 3.31% 1.007M APT
2 hours 6.28 5.96 6.24 4.49% 5.10% 3.31% 1.645M APT
4 hours 6.40 5.96 6.38 6.58% 6.88% 3.81% 2.407M APT
6 hours 6.48 5.96 6.41 7.02% 8.02% 6.79% 2.978M APT
8 hours 6.40 5.81 6.38 7.99% 9.22% 6.17% 4.278M APT
12 hours 6.51 5.96 6.37 6.44% 8.45% 6.79% 4.378M APT

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 1.81x 2.06x Ordinary
Ethereum 2.15x 1.79x Ordinary
XRP 2.50x 1.70x Strong
BNB 2.05x 1.78x Ordinary
Solana 1.80x 1.58x Ordinary
Dogecoin 2.36x 1.51x Strong
TRON 1.72x 1.42x Ordinary
Cardano 2.51x 1.88x Strong
Chainlink 2.62x 1.61x Strong
Sui 2.99x 1.52x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.93x 1.67x Strong
Hedera 2.69x 1.48x Strong
Avalanche 2.34x 1.55x Strong
Litecoin 2.14x 1.64x Strong
Gram 2.41x 1.29x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.43x 1.74x Strong
Uniswap 2.43x 1.48x Strong
Polkadot 2.48x 1.49x Strong
Aave 2.27x 1.57x Strong
Bittensor 2.87x 1.68x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.33x 1.37x Strong
Aptos 1.91x 1.70x Ordinary
Internet Computer 2.35x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.51x 1.56x Strong
Filecoin 2.64x 1.50x Strong

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Aptos

Questions about this page

Is 1.91x a lot?

For a PCE release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.70x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Aptos moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.