How XRP reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 20 December 2024

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, XRP's price swung 3.20 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.81 times is usual. An hour later the price was 2.36% higher.

3.20x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
5.63x
usual for PCE: 1.95x
Price at 8:30 AM
$2.1200
15 minutes later
+3.30%
One hour later
+2.36%
range 4.25%, hour before 5.19%
XRP/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
2.2800
Close
2.2800
24h change
0.00%
24h high
2.3600
24h low
1.9600
24h volume
1.086B XRP

Measured by Clometrix

XRP's volatility ratio was 3.20x, against 1.81x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.63x, against a typical 1.95x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How XRP moved

XRP was at $2.1200 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 3.3% higher, and an hour later 2.36% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 4.25% of its price, against 5.19% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 20 December 2024 at 8:30 AM EST. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.1% for November 2024, against 0.3% in October 2024. Prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved XRP less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.50x across 17, against 1.93x across 50. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 18 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 3.20x compares with 1.93x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 67 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's median volatility ratio is 1.70x.

How it compares

Across 66 PCE releases since 2021, XRP's usual price swing is 1.81x. This one was 1.77 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.81x. Thick line: this release, 3.20x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 2.18 2.11 2.18 2.75% 3.21% 0.47% 9.335M XRP
5 minutes 2.19 2.11 2.19 3.20% 3.65% 1.40% 24.079M XRP
10 minutes 2.20 2.11 2.18 2.75% 4.09% 1.40% 33.452M XRP
15 minutes 2.20 2.11 2.19 3.20% 4.09% 2.31% 38.911M XRP
30 minutes 2.20 2.11 2.18 2.75% 4.09% 3.21% 54.083M XRP
1 hour 2.20 2.11 2.17 2.30% 4.09% 5.00% 71.962M XRP
2 hours 2.24 2.11 2.24 5.36% 5.80% 10.91% 127.099M XRP
4 hours 2.25 2.11 2.25 5.78% 6.22% 11.31% 194.878M XRP
6 hours 2.29 2.11 2.28 7.02% 7.86% 15.15% 246.253M XRP
8 hours 2.25 1.96 2.25 2.67% 12.89% 7.63% 670.883M XRP
12 hours 2.31 2.11 2.28 7.02% 8.66% 16.95% 381.29M XRP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 3.49x 2.03x Strong
Ethereum 3.29x 1.77x Strong
XRP 3.20x 1.81x Strong
BNB 3.12x 1.75x Strong
Solana 3.74x 1.57x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.80x 1.52x Exceptional
TRON 3.64x 1.43x Exceptional
Cardano 4.30x 1.90x Exceptional
Chainlink 3.11x 1.62x Strong
Sui 5.96x 1.53x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 3.59x 1.69x Exceptional
Hedera 2.43x 1.51x Strong
Avalanche 3.72x 1.55x Exceptional
Litecoin 3.24x 1.64x Strong
Gram 2.98x 1.32x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 3.24x 1.75x Strong
Uniswap 2.44x 1.49x Strong
Polkadot 3.40x 1.50x Exceptional
Aave 2.66x 1.58x Strong
Bittensor 3.86x 1.68x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 3.17x 1.43x Exceptional
Aptos 2.38x 1.73x Strong
Internet Computer 2.96x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 3.29x 1.60x Exceptional
Filecoin 2.70x 1.51x Strong

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for XRP

Questions about this page

Is 3.20x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.81x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range XRP moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.