How Sui reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 20 December 2024

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Sui's price swung 5.96 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.53 times is usual. An hour later the price was 10.75% higher.

5.96x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
4.96x
usual for PCE: 1.59x
Price at 8:30 AM
$3.7200
15 minutes later
+8.33%
One hour later
+10.75%
range 12.63%, hour before 2.96%
SUI/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
4.1100
Close
4.5600
24h change
9.87%
24h high
4.6200
24h low
3.4900
24h volume
193.525M SUI

Measured by Clometrix

Sui's volatility ratio was 5.96x, against 1.53x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.96x, against a typical 1.59x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Sui moved

Sui was at $3.7200 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 8.33% higher, and an hour later 10.75% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 12.63% of its price, against 2.96% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 20 December 2024 at 8:30 AM EST. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.1% for November 2024, against 0.3% in October 2024. Prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Sui less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.02x across 11, against 1.72x across 30. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 18 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 5.96x compares with 1.72x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 41 PCE releases since 2021, Sui's median volatility ratio is 1.52x.

How it compares

Across 40 PCE releases since 2021, Sui's usual price swing is 1.53x. This one was 3.89 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.53x. Thick line: this release, 5.96x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 3.81 3.72 3.80 2.11% 2.36% 0.54% 1.295M SUI
5 minutes 3.89 3.72 3.89 4.37% 4.37% 1.07% 3.604M SUI
10 minutes 4.01 3.72 3.98 6.53% 7.23% 1.07% 6.052M SUI
15 minutes 4.04 3.72 4.03 7.69% 7.92% 1.59% 7.425M SUI
30 minutes 4.18 3.72 4.09 9.05% 11.00% 1.59% 14.455M SUI
1 hour 4.19 3.72 4.12 9.71% 11.22% 2.89% 21.47M SUI
2 hours 4.34 3.72 4.32 13.89% 14.29% 8.40% 33.747M SUI
4 hours 4.59 3.72 4.52 17.70% 18.95% 8.40% 60.302M SUI
6 hours 4.59 3.72 4.50 17.33% 18.95% 14.25% 70.4M SUI
8 hours 4.59 3.49 4.52 16.37% 23.97% 10.50% 114.944M SUI
12 hours 4.62 3.72 4.56 18.42% 19.48% 16.71% 95.04M SUI

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 3.49x 2.03x Strong
Ethereum 3.29x 1.77x Strong
XRP 3.20x 1.81x Strong
BNB 3.12x 1.75x Strong
Solana 3.74x 1.57x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.80x 1.52x Exceptional
TRON 3.64x 1.43x Exceptional
Cardano 4.30x 1.90x Exceptional
Chainlink 3.11x 1.62x Strong
Sui 5.96x 1.53x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 3.59x 1.69x Exceptional
Hedera 2.43x 1.51x Strong
Avalanche 3.72x 1.55x Exceptional
Litecoin 3.24x 1.64x Strong
Gram 2.98x 1.32x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 3.24x 1.75x Strong
Uniswap 2.44x 1.49x Strong
Polkadot 3.40x 1.50x Exceptional
Aave 2.66x 1.58x Strong
Bittensor 3.86x 1.68x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 3.17x 1.43x Exceptional
Aptos 2.38x 1.73x Strong
Internet Computer 2.96x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 3.29x 1.60x Exceptional
Filecoin 2.70x 1.51x Strong

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Sui

Questions about this page

Is 5.96x a lot?

For a PCE release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.53x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Sui moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

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Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.