How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 20 December 2019

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 20 December 2019 at 10:00 AM EST. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.1% for November 2019, against 0.2% in October 2019. Prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 1.21x, against 1.60x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.04x, against a typical 2.13x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.0158 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.46% lower, and an hour later 1.58% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.36% of its price, against 2.72% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.87x across 18, against 1.51x across 51. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.21x compares with 1.51x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 68 PCE releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.60x. This one was 0.76 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.60x. Thick line: this release, 1.21x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After	High	Low	Close	Change	Range	Range before	Volume
1 minute	0.01579	0.01574	0.01575	-0.19%	0.32%	0.25%	610,516 POL
5 minutes	0.01579	0.01572	0.01573	-0.32%	0.44%	0.76%	2.599M POL
10 minutes	0.01579	0.01551	0.01563	-0.96%	1.77%	1.01%	10.363M POL
15 minutes	0.01579	0.01551	0.01555	-1.48%	1.77%	1.51%	12.636M POL
30 minutes	0.01579	0.0154	0.01547	-2.00%	2.47%	1.96%	24.937M POL
1 hour	0.01579	0.01526	0.01553	-1.61%	3.36%	2.71%	64.951M POL
2 hours	0.01579	0.0148	0.0149	-5.91%	6.27%	4.23%	189.012M POL
4 hours	0.01579	0.0148	0.01504	-4.92%	6.27%	7.26%	291.021M POL
6 hours	0.01579	0.0148	0.0156	-1.15%	6.27%	7.26%	376.238M POL
8 hours	0.01585	0.0147	0.01504	-1.00%	7.26%	9.29%	641.197M POL
12 hours	0.01634	0.0148	0.01622	2.71%	9.42%	12.56%	583.9M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin	Price swing	Usual for PCE	Reaction
Bitcoin	2.51x	2.03x	Ordinary
Ethereum	3.78x	1.77x	Exceptional
XRP	1.79x	1.81x	Ordinary
BNB	1.79x	1.75x	Ordinary
Dogecoin	1.19x	1.52x	Quiet
TRON	2.70x	1.43x	Strong
Cardano	2.52x	1.90x	Strong
Chainlink	0.99x	1.62x	Quiet
Bitcoin Cash	3.19x	1.69x	Strong
Hedera	1.96x	1.51x	Strong
Litecoin	2.72x	1.64x	Strong
POL (prev. MATIC)	1.21x	1.60x	Quiet

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 1.21x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.