How Shiba Inu reacted to the Personal Consumption Expenditures on 28 March 2025

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Shiba Inu's price swung 2.61 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a PCE release, 1.75 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.45% lower.

2.61x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
4.80x
usual for PCE: 2.65x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.000013
15 minutes later
−0.82%
One hour later
−0.45%
range 1.48%, hour before 2.15%
SHIB/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.000014
Close
0.000013
24h change
-4.29%
24h high
0.000014
24h low
0.000013
24h volume
2.154T SHIB

Measured by Clometrix

Shiba Inu's volatility ratio was 2.61x, against 1.75x for a typical PCE release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.80x, against a typical 2.65x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Shiba Inu moved

Shiba Inu was at $0.000013 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.82% lower, and an hour later 0.45% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.48% of its price, against 2.15% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on 28 March 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures came in at 0.4% for February 2025, against 0.4% in January 2025. Prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, PCE releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Shiba Inu about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.72x across 18, against 1.74x across 48. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.61x compares with 1.74x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 66 PCE releases since 2021, Shiba Inu's median volatility ratio is 1.74x.

How it compares

Across 65 PCE releases since 2021, Shiba Inu's usual price swing is 1.75x. This one was 1.49 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: PCE's usual, 1.75x. Thick line: this release, 2.61x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.00001348 0.0000134 0.00001342 -0.45% 0.59% 0.30% 39.652B SHIB
5 minutes 0.00001348 0.00001336 0.00001339 -0.67% 0.89% 0.74% 54.763B SHIB
10 minutes 0.00001348 0.00001333 0.00001333 -1.13% 1.11% 1.04% 62.464B SHIB
15 minutes 0.00001348 0.00001328 0.00001337 -0.82% 1.48% 1.26% 77.655B SHIB
30 minutes 0.00001348 0.00001328 0.00001328 -1.51% 1.48% 1.33% 88.504B SHIB
1 hour 0.00001348 0.00001328 0.00001342 -0.45% 1.48% 2.15% 181.284B SHIB
2 hours 0.00001348 0.00001325 0.00001328 -1.51% 1.71% 2.67% 355.412B SHIB
4 hours 0.00001348 0.00001316 0.00001318 -2.28% 2.37% 2.67% 539.711B SHIB
6 hours 0.00001348 0.0000131 0.00001315 -2.51% 2.82% 2.67% 666.634B SHIB
8 hours 0.00001349 0.00001313 0.00001318 -0.08% 2.67% 6.12% 974.78B SHIB
12 hours 0.00001348 0.00001301 0.0000133 -1.35% 3.49% 6.55% 953.162B SHIB

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for PCE Reaction
Bitcoin 3.00x 2.03x Strong
Ethereum 2.86x 1.77x Strong
XRP 3.95x 1.81x Exceptional
BNB 2.02x 1.75x Ordinary
Solana 2.67x 1.57x Strong
Dogecoin 2.05x 1.52x Strong
TRON 1.51x 1.43x Ordinary
Cardano 3.00x 1.90x Strong
Chainlink 2.90x 1.62x Strong
Sui 2.50x 1.53x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.99x 1.69x Strong
Hedera 2.37x 1.51x Strong
Avalanche 2.77x 1.55x Strong
Litecoin 2.72x 1.64x Strong
Gram 1.32x 1.32x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.61x 1.75x Strong
Uniswap 2.45x 1.49x Strong
Polkadot 2.43x 1.50x Strong
Aave 2.33x 1.58x Strong
Bittensor 2.40x 1.68x Strong
NEAR Protocol 3.09x 1.43x Exceptional
Aptos 3.06x 1.73x Strong
Internet Computer 2.05x 1.50x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.31x 1.60x Strong
Filecoin 4.93x 1.51x Exceptional

What is the Personal Consumption Expenditures?

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is a measure of the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services. PCE accounts for about two-thirds of domestic spending and is a significant driver of gross domestic product (GDP). An estimated total of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as one way to measure and track changes in the prices of consumer goods over time.

Every PCE release for Shiba Inu

Questions about this page

Is 2.61x a lot?

For a PCE release it is strong: the usual is 1.75x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next PCE do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Shiba Inu moved in after past PCE releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is PCE, and why does the Fed watch it?

PCE is the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve measures its 2 percent inflation goal with the PCE price index. PCE, Core PCE and Personal Income are released together at 8:30 a.m. ET and share one reaction. Their median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.03x, which places them in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.