SOL Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 2nd February 2024

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Solana's volatility ratio was 4.17x, against 2.77x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 7.64x, against a typical 4.45x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Solana moved

Solana was at $101.63 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 2.04% lower, and an hour later 2.42% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.26% of its price, against 1.16% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 2 February 2024 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 119K jobs for January 2024, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a gain of 269K in December 2023.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Solana about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.72x across 21, against 2.81x across 49. This one came out 2 days after the Federal Reserve's 31 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 4.17x compares with 2.81x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 Non-Farm Payrolls releases since 2021, Solana's median volatility ratio is 2.77x.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

SOL-USDT

Solana

Open

99.01

Close

100.57

24h Change

1.56 (1.55%)

24h High

102.57

24h Low

98.06

24h Volume

5.038M SOL

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

2nd February, 2024, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before101.63101.66101.57101.640.01%0.09%770 SOL
During101.63101.63100.96100.97-0.65%0.66%17,494 SOL
 
5 Minutes
Before101.54101.73101.52101.640.10%0.21%7,085 SOL
During101.63101.63100.00100.38-1.25%1.60%110,839 SOL
 
10 Minutes
Before101.52101.73101.45101.640.12%0.28%13,767 SOL
During101.63101.6399.5199.97-1.66%2.09%206,797 SOL
 
15 Minutes
Before101.29101.73101.13101.640.34%0.59%26,945 SOL
During101.63101.6399.3799.56-2.08%2.22%282,048 SOL
 
30 Minutes
Before101.40101.73101.13101.640.24%0.59%59,427 SOL
During101.63101.6398.3298.86-2.80%3.26%488,980 SOL
 
1 Hour
Before102.04102.31101.13101.64-0.39%1.15%149,959 SOL
During101.63101.6398.3299.17-2.48%3.26%711,812 SOL
 
2 Hours
Before102.08102.57101.13101.64-0.43%1.40%353,774 SOL
During101.63101.6398.32100.66-0.96%3.26%1.1M SOL
 
4 Hours
Before101.04102.57100.55101.640.59%1.97%732,199 SOL
During101.63102.2098.32100.19-1.44%3.80%1.659M SOL
 
6 Hours
Before100.32102.5799.92101.641.30%2.58%1.196M SOL
During101.63102.2098.2399.21-2.44%3.88%2.085M SOL
 
8 Hours
Before99.01101.6098.06101.052.02%3.48%1.556M SOL
During101.04102.5798.32100.19-0.85%4.14%2.391M SOL
 
12 Hours
Before99.01102.5798.06101.642.59%4.40%2.288M SOL
During101.63102.2098.23100.57-1.05%3.88%2.75M SOL

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