SOL Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 5th January 2024

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 5 January 2024 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 269K jobs for December 2023, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a gain of 141K in November 2023.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Solana's volatility ratio was 1.07x, against 2.77x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.26x, against a typical 4.45x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Solana moved

Solana was at $100.79 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.36% lower, and an hour later 1.31% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.18% of its price, against 1.21% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Solana about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.72x across 21, against 2.81x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.07x compares with 2.81x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

SOL-USDT

Solana

Open

102.97

Close

97.95

24h Change

-5.02 (-5.13%)

24h High

103.68

24h Low

95.23

24h Volume

6.551M SOL

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

5th January, 2024, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before100.75100.84100.74100.800.05%0.10%1,293 SOL
During100.79100.83100.12100.62-0.17%0.70%9,939 SOL
 
5 Minutes
Before100.84100.86100.63100.80-0.04%0.23%11,985 SOL
During100.79101.04100.12100.69-0.10%0.91%27,751 SOL
 
10 Minutes
Before101.19101.32100.63100.80-0.39%0.68%23,124 SOL
During100.79101.04100.12100.37-0.42%0.91%55,077 SOL
 
15 Minutes
Before101.11101.44100.63100.80-0.31%0.80%49,114 SOL
During100.79101.04100.12100.43-0.36%0.91%70,905 SOL
 
30 Minutes
Before100.60101.44100.45100.800.20%0.98%111,001 SOL
During100.79101.0499.66100.78-0.01%1.37%137,134 SOL
 
1 Hour
Before100.34101.44100.22100.800.46%1.20%237,662 SOL
During100.79101.2099.0099.47-1.33%2.17%311,012 SOL
 
2 Hours
Before100.60101.4498.62100.800.20%2.78%556,395 SOL
During100.79101.2096.7298.18-2.66%4.43%917,751 SOL
 
4 Hours
Before101.91102.7898.62100.80-1.10%4.05%1.229M SOL
During100.79101.2095.2396.60-4.34%5.90%1.698M SOL
 
6 Hours
Before101.70103.1798.62100.80-0.89%4.41%1.623M SOL
During100.79101.2095.2397.77-3.09%5.90%2.126M SOL
 
8 Hours
Before102.97103.6898.50101.91-1.04%5.00%2.128M SOL
During101.91102.7895.2396.60-5.50%7.35%2.926M SOL
 
12 Hours
Before102.97103.6898.50100.80-2.15%5.00%3.357M SOL
During100.79101.2095.2397.95-2.90%5.90%3.194M SOL

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