SOL Volatility Analysis for Non-Farm Payrolls, 8th March 2024

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 8 March 2024 at 8:30 AM EST. The economy added 222K jobs for February 2024, according to Non-Farm Payrolls, after a gain of 119K in January 2024.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Private Payrolls and Unemployment Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Solana's volatility ratio was 1.25x, against 2.77x for a typical Non-Farm Payrolls release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.50x, against a typical 4.45x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Solana moved

Solana was at $148.03 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.53% higher, and an hour later 0.79% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.45% of its price, against 1.32% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Non-Farm Payrolls releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Solana about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.72x across 21, against 2.81x across 49. This one came out 12 days before the Federal Reserve's 20 March rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.25x compares with 2.72x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About Non-Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is the measure of the number of workers in the U.S. excluding farm workers and workers in a handful of other job classifications. This is measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which surveys private and government entities throughout the U.S. about their payrolls. The BLS reports the nonfarm payroll numbers to the public on a monthly basis through the closely followed “Employment Situation” report.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

SOL-USDT

Solana

Open

144.34

Close

145.75

24h Change

1.41 (0.97%)

24h High

152.64

24h Low

142.00

24h Volume

8.102M SOL

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Bureau of Labor Statistics

8th March, 2024, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before148.03148.07147.85148.030.00%0.15%8,698 SOL
During148.03148.29147.80148.270.16%0.33%8,351 SOL
 
5 Minutes
Before148.54148.54147.85148.03-0.34%0.46%35,327 SOL
During148.03148.96147.80148.710.46%0.78%51,607 SOL
 
10 Minutes
Before148.01148.63147.85148.030.01%0.52%53,781 SOL
During148.03149.15147.80148.940.61%0.91%67,895 SOL
 
15 Minutes
Before148.89148.90147.82148.03-0.58%0.73%100,715 SOL
During148.03149.15147.80148.810.52%0.91%88,824 SOL
 
30 Minutes
Before148.99149.78147.82148.03-0.65%1.31%156,609 SOL
During148.03149.95147.80149.000.65%1.43%159,014 SOL
 
1 Hour
Before149.49149.78147.82148.03-0.99%1.31%267,881 SOL
During148.03149.95147.80149.200.78%1.43%318,468 SOL
 
2 Hours
Before146.91149.98146.63148.030.76%2.23%671,452 SOL
During148.03152.64147.80149.410.92%3.17%1.058M SOL
 
4 Hours
Before145.89149.98145.00148.031.45%3.32%1.127M SOL
During148.03152.64142.03147.82-0.14%6.95%3.356M SOL
 
6 Hours
Before144.77149.98144.31148.032.20%3.78%1.468M SOL
During148.03152.64142.03146.80-0.84%6.95%3.92M SOL
 
8 Hours
Before144.34146.40142.00145.881.06%3.01%1.543M SOL
During145.89152.64142.03147.821.31%6.95%4.483M SOL
 
12 Hours
Before144.34149.98142.00148.032.49%5.32%2.669M SOL
During148.03152.64142.03145.75-1.56%6.95%5.433M SOL

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