How Chainlink reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 29 July 2025

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Chainlink's price swung 2.30 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 1.71 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.66% lower.

2.30x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
4.23x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.21x
Price at 10:00 AM
$18.06
15 minutes later
−0.94%
One hour later
−1.66%
range 2.27%, hour before 1.94%
LINK/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
18.04
Close
17.84
24h change
-1.12%
24h high
18.64
24h low
17.47
24h volume
3.682M LINK

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 2.30x, against 1.71x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.23x, against a typical 2.21x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $18.06 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.94% lower, and an hour later 1.66% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.27% of its price, against 1.94% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 29 July 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey fell to 7.437M for June 2025, from 7.712M in May 2025.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.79x across 25, against 1.66x across 44. This one came out the day before the Federal Reserve's 30 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.30x compares with 1.79x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Chainlink's median volatility ratio is 1.71x.

How it compares

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Chainlink's usual price swing is 1.71x. This one was 1.34 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 1.71x. Thick line: this release, 2.30x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 18.06 18.00 18.01 -0.28% 0.33% 0.11% 1,901 LINK
5 minutes 18.06 17.90 17.92 -0.78% 0.89% 0.39% 35,161 LINK
10 minutes 18.06 17.79 17.85 -1.18% 1.50% 0.72% 99,984 LINK
15 minutes 18.06 17.79 17.89 -0.95% 1.50% 1.26% 126,787 LINK
30 minutes 18.06 17.79 17.96 -0.56% 1.50% 1.80% 210,259 LINK
1 hour 18.06 17.65 17.76 -1.69% 2.27% 1.91% 367,053 LINK
2 hours 18.06 17.60 17.68 -2.15% 2.55% 1.91% 551,306 LINK
4 hours 18.06 17.47 17.81 -1.40% 3.27% 1.91% 958,604 LINK
6 hours 18.06 17.47 17.70 -2.03% 3.27% 3.43% 1.347M LINK
8 hours 18.35 17.47 17.81 -2.81% 4.80% 4.13% 1.503M LINK
12 hours 18.06 17.47 17.84 -1.23% 3.27% 4.13% 2.005M LINK

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 2.96x 2.22x Strong
Ethereum 2.71x 2.00x Strong
XRP 2.03x 1.58x Ordinary
BNB 1.78x 1.77x Ordinary
Solana 2.50x 1.81x Strong
Dogecoin 2.65x 1.76x Strong
TRON 1.38x 1.52x Quiet
Cardano 2.55x 1.66x Strong
Chainlink 2.30x 1.71x Strong
Sui 4.02x 1.91x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 1.36x 1.81x Quiet
Hedera 1.76x 1.53x Ordinary
Avalanche 3.42x 1.67x Exceptional
Litecoin 2.27x 1.87x Ordinary
Gram 2.06x 2.00x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 2.29x 1.49x Strong
Uniswap 2.04x 1.53x Strong
Polkadot 2.45x 1.63x Strong
Aave 2.57x 1.79x Strong
Bittensor 2.09x 1.75x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 2.51x 1.57x Strong
Aptos 2.67x 1.77x Strong
Internet Computer 2.33x 1.69x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.80x 1.82x Strong
Filecoin 2.56x 1.50x Strong

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for Chainlink

Questions about this page

Is 2.30x a lot?

For a JOLTs Job Openings release it is strong: the usual is 1.71x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Chainlink moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is the JOLTs report?

JOLTs is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is released at 10:00 a.m. ET. Its median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.22x, which places it in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.