How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 1 February 2023

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, POL (prev. MATIC)'s price swung 1.01 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 1.82 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.82% lower.

1.01x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.46x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.36x
Price at 10:00 AM
$1.1000
15 minutes later
0.00%
One hour later
−1.82%
range 1.82%, hour before 0.91%
POL/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.1100
Close
1.2200
24h change
9.02%
24h high
1.2500
24h low
1.0700
24h volume
128.322M POL

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 1 February 2023 at 10:00 AM EST. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey rose to 10.876M for December 2022, from 10.619M in November 2022.

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 1.01x, against 1.82x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.46x, against a typical 2.36x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $1.1000 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 1.82% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.82% of its price, against 0.91% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.53x across 25, against 1.98x across 43. This one came out on the day of the Federal Reserve's 1 February rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.01x compares with 1.53x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 68 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.82x. This one was 0.56 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 1.82x. Thick line: this release, 1.01x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 1.10 1.09 1.10 0.00% 0.91% 0.00% 300,433 POL
5 minutes 1.10 1.09 1.09 -0.92% 0.91% 0.00% 612,231 POL
10 minutes 1.10 1.09 1.09 -0.92% 0.91% 0.00% 862,531 POL
15 minutes 1.10 1.09 1.10 0.00% 0.91% 0.00% 978,266 POL
30 minutes 1.10 1.09 1.09 -0.92% 0.91% 0.91% 1.684M POL
1 hour 1.10 1.08 1.08 -1.85% 1.82% 0.91% 4.927M POL
2 hours 1.10 1.07 1.08 -1.85% 2.73% 0.91% 7.904M POL
4 hours 1.10 1.07 1.09 -0.92% 2.73% 1.82% 14.074M POL
6 hours 1.17 1.07 1.16 5.17% 8.55% 1.82% 47.817M POL
8 hours 1.10 1.07 1.09 0.00% 2.73% 2.70% 20.867M POL
12 hours 1.25 1.07 1.22 9.84% 14.40% 2.70% 105.675M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 1.46x 2.22x Quiet
Ethereum 1.54x 2.00x Ordinary
XRP 1.70x 1.58x Ordinary
BNB 1.21x 1.77x Quiet
Solana 1.16x 1.81x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.76x 1.76x Ordinary
TRON 1.31x 1.52x Quiet
Cardano 1.60x 1.66x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.60x 1.71x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 2.21x 1.81x Ordinary
Hedera 1.53x 1.53x Ordinary
Avalanche 1.96x 1.67x Ordinary
Litecoin 2.57x 1.87x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.33x 1.49x Quiet
Uniswap 1.58x 1.53x Ordinary
Polkadot 1.67x 1.63x Ordinary
Aave 1.01x 1.79x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.51x 1.57x Ordinary
Aptos 1.00x 1.77x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.60x 1.69x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.01x 1.82x Quiet
Filecoin 1.39x 1.50x Quiet

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 1.01x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is the JOLTs report?

JOLTs is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is released at 10:00 a.m. ET. Its median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.22x, which places it in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.