How Ethereum reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 29 March 2022

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Ethereum's price swung 1.10 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 2.00 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.12% higher.

1.10x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
2.50x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.67x
Price at 10:00 AM
$3,443.47
15 minutes later
−0.26%
One hour later
+0.12%
range 0.73%, hour before 1.42%
ETH/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
3,388.58
Close
3,347.00
24h change
-1.24%
24h high
3,481.87
24h low
3,331.84
24h volume
474,194 ETH

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 29 March 2022 at 10:00 AM EDT. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey rose to 11.661M for February 2022, from 11.238M in January 2022.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.10x, against 2.00x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.50x, against a typical 2.67x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $3,443.47 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.26% lower, and an hour later 0.12% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.73% of its price, against 1.42% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.27x across 25, against 1.95x across 44. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.10x compares with 1.95x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Ethereum's usual price swing is 2.00x. This one was 0.55 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 2.00x. Thick line: this release, 1.10x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 3445.69 3441.52 3442.30 -0.03% 0.12% 0.04% 344 ETH
5 minutes 3448.00 3435.49 3436.56 -0.20% 0.36% 0.29% 2,344 ETH
10 minutes 3448.00 3434.08 3441.60 -0.05% 0.40% 0.56% 6,304 ETH
15 minutes 3449.07 3432.12 3434.54 -0.26% 0.49% 0.61% 9,480 ETH
30 minutes 3450.58 3431.46 3447.05 0.10% 0.55% 1.14% 13,533 ETH
1 hour 3456.58 3431.46 3447.53 0.12% 0.73% 1.41% 21,826 ETH
2 hours 3456.58 3393.00 3403.05 -1.19% 1.84% 1.65% 57,689 ETH
4 hours 3456.58 3368.00 3402.55 -1.20% 2.56% 1.92% 128,004 ETH
6 hours 3456.58 3368.00 3429.65 -0.40% 2.56% 2.78% 156,001 ETH
8 hours 3481.87 3368.00 3402.55 -0.71% 3.27% 2.24% 234,984 ETH
12 hours 3456.58 3331.84 3347.00 -2.88% 3.61% 3.29% 256,684 ETH

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 1.16x 2.22x Quiet
Ethereum 1.10x 2.00x Quiet
XRP 0.98x 1.58x Quiet
BNB 1.49x 1.77x Quiet
Solana 0.92x 1.81x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.21x 1.76x Quiet
TRON 1.40x 1.52x Quiet
Cardano 1.00x 1.66x Quiet
Chainlink 1.26x 1.71x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.20x 1.81x Quiet
Hedera 2.21x 1.53x Strong
Avalanche 1.27x 1.67x Quiet
Litecoin 0.99x 1.87x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.20x 1.49x Quiet
Uniswap 1.21x 1.53x Quiet
Polkadot 0.92x 1.63x Quiet
Aave 0.96x 1.79x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 0.95x 1.57x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.33x 1.69x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.98x 1.82x Quiet
Filecoin 2.58x 1.50x Strong

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for Ethereum

Questions about this page

Is 1.10x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Ethereum moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is the JOLTs report?

JOLTs is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is released at 10:00 a.m. ET. Its median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.22x, which places it in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.