How Uniswap reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 7 January 2025

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Uniswap's price swung 6.18 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 1.53 times is usual. An hour later the price was 3.56% lower.

6.18x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
22.62x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.40x
Price at 10:00 AM
$14.610
15 minutes later
−2.19%
One hour later
−3.56%
range 5.54%, hour before 2.33%
UNI/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
14.920
Close
13.620
24h change
-9.54%
24h high
15.040
24h low
13.480
24h volume
3.274M UNI

Measured by Clometrix

Uniswap's volatility ratio was 6.18x, against 1.53x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 22.62x, against a typical 2.40x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Uniswap moved

Uniswap was at $14.610 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 2.19% lower, and an hour later 3.56% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 5.54% of its price, against 2.33% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 7 January 2025 at 10:00 AM EST. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey rose to 8.031M for November 2024, from 7.615M in October 2024.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Uniswap more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.77x across 25, against 1.52x across 44. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 6.18x compares with 1.52x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Uniswap's median volatility ratio is 1.53x.

How it compares

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Uniswap's usual price swing is 1.53x. This one was 4.04 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 1.53x. Thick line: this release, 6.18x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 14.66 14.59 14.59 -0.14% 0.48% 0.95% 21,453 UNI
5 minutes 14.71 14.46 14.52 -0.62% 1.70% 1.56% 133,503 UNI
10 minutes 14.71 14.22 14.35 -1.81% 3.33% 1.69% 253,820 UNI
15 minutes 14.71 14.20 14.29 -2.24% 3.47% 1.82% 397,457 UNI
30 minutes 14.71 14.07 14.28 -2.31% 4.35% 2.28% 612,054 UNI
1 hour 14.71 13.90 14.09 -3.69% 5.51% 2.28% 983,199 UNI
2 hours 14.71 13.90 14.12 -3.47% 5.51% 2.48% 1.216M UNI
4 hours 14.71 13.71 13.78 -6.02% 6.80% 2.74% 1.587M UNI
6 hours 14.71 13.48 13.67 -6.88% 8.36% 3.00% 1.883M UNI
8 hours 14.96 13.71 13.78 -8.27% 8.36% 1.33% 2.034M UNI
12 hours 14.71 13.48 13.62 -7.27% 8.36% 3.26% 2.359M UNI

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 7.47x 2.22x Exceptional
Ethereum 6.10x 2.00x Exceptional
XRP 3.10x 1.58x Strong
BNB 4.95x 1.77x Exceptional
Solana 4.77x 1.81x Exceptional
Dogecoin 6.25x 1.76x Exceptional
TRON 10.02x 1.52x Exceptional
Cardano 5.05x 1.66x Exceptional
Chainlink 5.57x 1.71x Exceptional
Sui 3.39x 1.91x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 7.33x 1.81x Exceptional
Hedera 2.51x 1.53x Strong
Avalanche 5.99x 1.67x Exceptional
Litecoin 6.00x 1.87x Exceptional
Gram 8.74x 2.00x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 7.44x 1.49x Exceptional
Uniswap 6.18x 1.53x Exceptional
Polkadot 7.85x 1.63x Exceptional
Aave 5.56x 1.79x Exceptional
Bittensor 3.63x 1.75x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 8.39x 1.57x Exceptional
Aptos 3.79x 1.77x Exceptional
Internet Computer 6.03x 1.69x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 7.04x 1.82x Exceptional
Filecoin 7.66x 1.50x Exceptional

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for Uniswap

Questions about this page

Is 6.18x a lot?

For a JOLTs Job Openings release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.53x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Uniswap moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.