How Ethereum reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 1 October 2024

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Ethereum's price swung 1.89 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 2.00 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.21% lower.

1.89x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
3.82x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.67x
Price at 10:00 AM
$2,580.70
15 minutes later
−0.09%
One hour later
−1.21%
range 2.15%, hour before 2.18%
ETH/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
2,621.62
Close
2,480.64
24h change
-5.68%
24h high
2,659.00
24h low
2,414.00
24h volume
498,950 ETH

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 1 October 2024 at 10:00 AM EDT. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey rose to 7.649M for August 2024, from 7.504M in July 2024.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $2,580.70 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.09% lower, and an hour later 1.21% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.15% of its price, against 2.18% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.89x, against 2.00x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.82x, against a typical 2.67x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.27x across 25, against 1.95x across 44. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.89x compares with 1.95x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 2.00x.

How it compares

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Ethereum's usual price swing is 2.00x. This one was 0.94 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 2.00x. Thick line: this release, 1.89x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 2584.66 2578.58 2584.40 0.14% 0.24% 0.12% 764 ETH
5 minutes 2591.36 2578.58 2588.28 0.29% 0.49% 0.56% 3,924 ETH
10 minutes 2591.36 2576.19 2577.52 -0.12% 0.59% 0.64% 6,037 ETH
15 minutes 2591.36 2571.81 2578.30 -0.09% 0.75% 0.64% 10,483 ETH
30 minutes 2591.36 2570.78 2575.66 -0.20% 0.79% 1.79% 16,069 ETH
1 hour 2591.36 2536.00 2549.54 -1.22% 2.14% 2.14% 44,612 ETH
2 hours 2591.36 2481.40 2524.81 -2.21% 4.24% 2.53% 117,870 ETH
4 hours 2591.36 2428.34 2505.99 -2.98% 6.29% 2.76% 227,543 ETH
6 hours 2591.36 2428.34 2488.71 -3.70% 6.29% 3.04% 255,365 ETH
8 hours 2639.60 2428.34 2505.99 -5.16% 8.00% 1.91% 284,525 ETH
12 hours 2591.36 2414.00 2480.64 -4.03% 6.84% 3.47% 366,505 ETH

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 2.74x 2.22x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.89x 2.00x Ordinary
XRP 1.63x 1.58x Ordinary
BNB 1.90x 1.77x Ordinary
Solana 1.81x 1.81x Ordinary
Dogecoin 2.08x 1.76x Ordinary
TRON 1.33x 1.52x Quiet
Cardano 1.79x 1.66x Ordinary
Chainlink 2.04x 1.71x Ordinary
Sui 1.91x 1.91x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 2.34x 1.81x Ordinary
Hedera 1.62x 1.53x Ordinary
Avalanche 2.35x 1.67x Strong
Litecoin 1.93x 1.87x Ordinary
Gram 2.38x 2.00x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 1.63x 1.49x Ordinary
Uniswap 1.40x 1.53x Quiet
Polkadot 1.02x 1.63x Quiet
Aave 3.16x 1.79x Strong
Bittensor 1.62x 1.75x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 1.88x 1.57x Ordinary
Aptos 1.84x 1.77x Ordinary
Internet Computer 1.90x 1.69x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.80x 1.82x Ordinary
Filecoin 1.86x 1.50x Ordinary

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for Ethereum

Questions about this page

Is 1.89x a lot?

For a JOLTs Job Openings release it is ordinary: the usual is 2.00x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Ethereum moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is the JOLTs report?

JOLTs is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is released at 10:00 a.m. ET. Its median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.22x, which places it in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.