How Polkadot reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 9 December 2025

Published with later months. These figures were published together with later months in a single release, so the reaction shown belongs to all of them, not to this period alone.

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Polkadot's price swung 3.96 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 1.65 times is usual. An hour later the price was 4.72% higher.

3.96x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
8.79x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.20x
Price at 10:00 AM
$2.120
15 minutes later
+0.47%
One hour later
+4.72%
range 4.72%, hour before 0.94%
DOT/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
2.110
Close
2.250
24h change
6.22%
24h high
2.390
24h low
2.090
24h volume
10.847M DOT

Measured by Clometrix

Polkadot's volatility ratio was 3.96x, against 1.65x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 8.79x, against a typical 2.20x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Polkadot moved

Polkadot was at $2.120 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.47% higher, and an hour later 4.72% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 4.72% of its price, against 0.94% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 9 December 2025 at 10:00 AM EST. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey rose to 7.658M for September 2025, from 7.227M in August 2025.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Polkadot about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.77x across 26, against 1.58x across 44. This one came out the day before the Federal Reserve's 10 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 3.96x compares with 1.77x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Polkadot's median volatility ratio is 1.65x.

How it compares

Across 70 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Polkadot's usual price swing is 1.65x. This one was 2.41 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 1.65x. Thick line: this release, 3.96x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 2.12 2.12 2.12 0.00% 0.00% 0.47% 10,845 DOT
5 minutes 2.16 2.12 2.14 0.93% 1.85% 0.47% 316,228 DOT
10 minutes 2.16 2.12 2.13 0.47% 1.85% 0.47% 400,173 DOT
15 minutes 2.16 2.12 2.13 0.47% 1.85% 0.47% 420,263 DOT
30 minutes 2.17 2.12 2.16 1.85% 2.30% 0.94% 539,549 DOT
1 hour 2.22 2.12 2.22 4.50% 4.50% 0.94% 1.307M DOT
2 hours 2.39 2.12 2.34 9.40% 11.30% 1.40% 4.378M DOT
4 hours 2.39 2.12 2.33 9.01% 11.30% 1.87% 6.372M DOT
6 hours 2.39 2.12 2.29 7.42% 11.30% 2.34% 7.371M DOT
8 hours 2.39 2.10 2.33 9.87% 12.13% 1.88% 7.188M DOT
12 hours 2.39 2.12 2.25 5.78% 11.30% 2.34% 8.564M DOT

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 3.62x 2.24x Strong
Ethereum 4.28x 2.05x Exceptional
XRP 4.10x 1.59x Exceptional
BNB 3.50x 1.78x Strong
Solana 3.90x 1.81x Exceptional
Dogecoin 5.89x 1.77x Exceptional
TRON 3.68x 1.52x Exceptional
Cardano 4.47x 1.69x Exceptional
Chainlink 5.23x 1.75x Exceptional
Sui 4.00x 1.93x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 3.07x 1.84x Strong
Hedera 4.56x 1.54x Exceptional
Avalanche 4.97x 1.71x Exceptional
Litecoin 3.69x 1.90x Strong
Gram 2.00x 2.00x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 4.22x 1.49x Exceptional
Uniswap 4.33x 1.55x Exceptional
Polkadot 3.96x 1.65x Exceptional
Aave 4.23x 1.80x Exceptional
Bittensor 2.75x 1.81x Strong
NEAR Protocol 3.95x 1.59x Exceptional
Aptos 2.98x 1.77x Strong
Internet Computer 3.92x 1.69x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 3.96x 1.84x Exceptional
Filecoin 3.10x 1.51x Exceptional

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for Polkadot

Questions about this page

Is 3.96x a lot?

For a JOLTs Job Openings release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.65x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Polkadot moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.