How Bitcoin reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 31 May 2023

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Bitcoin's price swung 1.58 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 2.22 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.31% lower.

1.58x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
2.33x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.74x
Price at 10:00 AM
$27,117.10
15 minutes later
−0.24%
One hour later
−0.31%
range 0.99%, hour before 0.63%
BTC/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
27,742.09
Close
27,078.56
24h change
-2.45%
24h high
27,742.09
24h low
26,839.01
24h volume
49,379 BTC

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 31 May 2023 at 10:00 AM EDT. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey rose to 9.992M for April 2023, from 9.572M in March 2023.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $27,117.10 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.24% lower, and an hour later 0.31% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.99% of its price, against 0.63% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.58x, against 2.22x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.33x, against a typical 2.74x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 2.27x across 25, against 2.14x across 44. This one came out 14 days before the Federal Reserve's 14 June rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.58x compares with 2.27x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 2.22x.

How it compares

Across 69 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Bitcoin's usual price swing is 2.22x. This one was 0.71 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 2.22x. Thick line: this release, 1.58x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 27119.24 27071.36 27071.86 -0.17% 0.18% 0.06% 140 BTC
5 minutes 27119.24 27050.00 27104.91 -0.04% 0.26% 0.11% 418 BTC
10 minutes 27119.24 27029.41 27042.99 -0.27% 0.33% 0.22% 713 BTC
15 minutes 27119.24 27028.94 27052.01 -0.24% 0.33% 0.43% 862 BTC
30 minutes 27119.24 26851.00 26897.35 -0.82% 0.99% 0.43% 3,425 BTC
1 hour 27119.24 26851.00 27033.86 -0.31% 0.99% 0.63% 5,162 BTC
2 hours 27119.24 26851.00 26911.54 -0.76% 0.99% 0.69% 7,207 BTC
4 hours 27119.24 26839.01 27055.40 -0.23% 1.03% 0.87% 10,803 BTC
6 hours 27123.43 26839.01 27010.57 -0.39% 1.05% 0.87% 12,815 BTC
8 hours 27231.34 26839.01 27055.40 -0.29% 1.44% 2.79% 17,488 BTC
12 hours 27350.00 26839.01 27078.56 -0.14% 1.87% 2.79% 21,336 BTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 1.58x 2.22x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.97x 2.00x Ordinary
XRP 1.03x 1.58x Quiet
BNB 1.35x 1.77x Quiet
Solana 1.29x 1.81x Quiet
Dogecoin 2.38x 1.76x Strong
TRON 0.69x 1.52x Quiet
Cardano 1.40x 1.66x Quiet
Chainlink 2.02x 1.71x Ordinary
Sui 1.04x 1.91x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 2.00x 1.81x Ordinary
Hedera 1.00x 1.53x Quiet
Avalanche 1.00x 1.67x Quiet
Litecoin 2.06x 1.87x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 1.34x 1.49x Quiet
Uniswap 1.00x 1.53x Quiet
Polkadot 2.00x 1.63x Ordinary
Aave 1.49x 1.79x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.01x 1.57x Quiet
Aptos 1.26x 1.77x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.52x 1.69x Ordinary
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.96x 1.82x Quiet
Filecoin 0.51x 1.50x Quiet

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for Bitcoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.58x a lot?

For a JOLTs Job Openings release it is ordinary: the usual is 2.22x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Bitcoin moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

What is the JOLTs report?

JOLTs is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It is released at 10:00 a.m. ET. Its median Bitcoin price swing since 2021 is 2.22x, which places it in Tier 2.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.