How Chainlink reacted to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on 5 December 2023

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Chainlink's price swung 0.81 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a JOLTs Job Openings release, 1.75 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.91% higher.

0.81x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
0.69x
usual for JOLTs Job Openings: 2.23x
Price at 10:00 AM
$15.39
15 minutes later
+0.13%
One hour later
+0.91%
range 1.62%, hour before 1.23%
LINK/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 10:00 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
15.69
Close
15.85
24h change
1.01%
24h high
16.16
24h low
15.18
24h volume
7.868M LINK

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 5 December 2023 at 10:00 AM EST. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey fell to 8.55M for October 2023, from 9.279M in September 2023.

Measured by Clometrix

Chainlink's volatility ratio was 0.81x, against 1.75x for a typical JOLTs Job Openings release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 0.69x, against a typical 2.23x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Chainlink moved

Chainlink was at $15.39 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.13% higher, and an hour later 0.91% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.62% of its price, against 1.23% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, JOLTs Job Openings releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Chainlink about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.89x across 26, against 1.66x across 44. This one came out 8 days before the Federal Reserve's 13 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.81x compares with 1.89x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 70 JOLTs Job Openings releases since 2021, Chainlink's usual price swing is 1.75x. This one was 0.47 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: JOLTs Job Openings's usual, 1.75x. Thick line: this release, 0.81x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 15.42 15.39 15.41 0.13% 0.19% 0.13% 4,625 LINK
5 minutes 15.43 15.36 15.43 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% 17,413 LINK
10 minutes 15.43 15.36 15.41 0.13% 0.45% 0.26% 31,870 LINK
15 minutes 15.44 15.36 15.41 0.13% 0.52% 0.39% 45,006 LINK
30 minutes 15.47 15.36 15.45 0.39% 0.71% 0.45% 91,497 LINK
1 hour 15.61 15.36 15.53 0.90% 1.60% 1.23% 250,316 LINK
2 hours 15.61 15.36 15.51 0.77% 1.60% 1.29% 612,771 LINK
4 hours 16.09 15.36 15.73 2.16% 4.54% 1.75% 1.773M LINK
6 hours 16.09 15.36 15.52 0.84% 4.54% 1.81% 2.302M LINK
8 hours 16.09 15.18 15.73 3.24% 5.66% 3.61% 2.57M LINK
12 hours 16.16 15.36 15.85 2.90% 4.95% 3.74% 4.795M LINK

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for JOLTs Job Openings Reaction
Bitcoin 1.46x 2.24x Quiet
Ethereum 1.03x 2.05x Quiet
XRP 0.78x 1.59x Quiet
BNB 1.12x 1.78x Quiet
Solana 1.05x 1.81x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.79x 1.77x Quiet
TRON 0.88x 1.52x Quiet
Cardano 0.62x 1.69x Quiet
Chainlink 0.81x 1.75x Quiet
Sui 0.94x 1.93x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 0.78x 1.84x Quiet
Hedera 1.02x 1.54x Quiet
Avalanche 0.57x 1.71x Quiet
Litecoin 0.75x 1.90x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.58x 1.49x Ordinary
Uniswap 1.27x 1.55x Quiet
Polkadot 0.80x 1.65x Quiet
Aave 0.66x 1.80x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.02x 1.59x Quiet
Aptos 0.62x 1.77x Quiet
Internet Computer 0.77x 1.69x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.76x 1.84x Quiet
Filecoin 0.66x 1.51x Quiet

What is the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey?

The job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) is a monthly report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor counting job vacancies and separations, including the number of workers voluntarily quitting employment. The BLS surveys more than 20,000 businesses and government offices to estimate the numbers of U.S. job vacancies, hires, and separations included in the monthly jobs report. The job separations numbers are subdivided into three categories: quits, or voluntary resignations; layoffs and discharges; and other separations, which include deaths and retirements. The number of vacancies is a widely followed indicator of labor demand, while the quits rate is partly a function of employment demand. Job hires and separations can be used to gauge labor turnover.

Every JOLTs Job Openings release for Chainlink

Questions about this page

Is 0.81x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next JOLTs Job Openings do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Chainlink moved in after past JOLTs Job Openings releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.