BTC Volatility Analysis for International Imports, 3rd May 2018

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis on 3 May 2018 at 8:30 AM EDT. The International Imports in Goods and Services fell to $256.8B for March 2018, from $259.3B in February 2018.

It arrived at the same moment as International Trade Balance in Goods and Services, International Exports in Goods and Services, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 0.86x, against 1.10x for a typical International Imports release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.33x, against a typical 1.22x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $9,258.03 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.05% higher, and an hour later 0.69% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.1% of its price, against 0.77% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, International Imports releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 0.97x across 23, against 1.25x across 47. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 2 May rate decision. Its own ratio of 0.86x compares with 1.25x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About International Imports in Goods and Services

International Imports measures economic transactions between a nation and its trading partners, showing the amount of a country's imports for a given period. The BEA and Census Bureau reports on the U.S. balance of payments (BOP), covering goods and services that move in to the country. Economists use this information to gauge the relative strength of a country's economy.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

9,210.84

Close

9,610.00

24h Change

399.16 (4.15%)

24h High

9,844.00

24h Low

9,168.40

24h Volume

40,529 BTC

US International Imports in Goods and Services

Bureau of Census, Bureau of Economic Analysis

3rd May, 2018, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before9251.009258.759250.009257.320.07%0.09%10 BTC
During9258.039259.489252.599258.750.01%0.07%15 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before9250.239258.979240.009257.320.08%0.20%118 BTC
During9258.039276.009252.599272.230.15%0.25%175 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before9228.999260.009225.009257.320.31%0.38%240 BTC
During9258.039282.969252.599280.000.24%0.33%282 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before9217.829260.009213.399257.320.43%0.50%300 BTC
During9258.039282.969248.509262.990.05%0.37%428 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before9220.009260.009207.399257.320.40%0.57%487 BTC
During9258.039349.999248.509320.000.66%1.09%1,126 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before9190.729260.009188.669257.320.72%0.77%876 BTC
During9258.039350.009248.509322.170.69%1.09%2,263 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before9216.609260.009188.669257.320.44%0.77%1,605 BTC
During9258.039490.609248.509438.001.91%2.55%5,510 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before9228.529260.009170.009257.320.31%0.97%4,082 BTC
During9258.039490.609248.509447.002.00%2.55%8,315 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before9208.699264.279170.009257.320.53%1.02%6,455 BTC
During9258.039779.009248.509670.004.26%5.42%15,728 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before9210.849315.689168.409238.000.29%1.58%10,376 BTC
During9228.529490.609170.009447.002.31%3.38%12,397 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before9210.849315.689168.409257.320.50%1.58%14,457 BTC
During9258.039844.009248.509610.003.66%6.05%26,071 BTC

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