How Cardano reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 16 June 2022

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Cardano's price swung 1.68 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.35 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.28% lower.

1.68x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
2.78x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.63x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.4979
15 minutes later
−0.50%
One hour later
−0.28%
range 2.25%, hour before 3.05%
ADA/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.5300
Close
0.4803
24h change
-10.35%
24h high
0.5417
24h low
0.4673
24h volume
350.815M ADA

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 16 June 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 213K for the week ending 11th Jun, from 214K in the week ending 4th Jun.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.4979 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.5% lower, and an hour later 0.28% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.25% of its price, against 3.05% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 1.68x, against 1.35x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.78x, against a typical 1.63x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.30x across 94, against 1.35x across 207. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 15 June rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.68x compares with 1.35x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's median volatility ratio is 1.35x.

How it compares

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's usual price swing is 1.35x. This one was 1.25 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.35x. Thick line: this release, 1.68x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.5023 0.4967 0.501 0.62% 1.11% 0.44% 1.193M ADA
5 minutes 0.5023 0.4967 0.4982 0.06% 1.11% 0.98% 5.2M ADA
10 minutes 0.5023 0.4963 0.4968 -0.22% 1.19% 2.62% 7.294M ADA
15 minutes 0.5023 0.4932 0.4954 -0.50% 1.81% 2.76% 9.169M ADA
30 minutes 0.5023 0.4911 0.4912 -1.36% 2.23% 2.76% 13.394M ADA
1 hour 0.5023 0.4911 0.4965 -0.28% 2.23% 3.04% 20.349M ADA
2 hours 0.5023 0.478 0.4897 -1.67% 4.84% 3.42% 53.611M ADA
4 hours 0.5023 0.478 0.4999 0.40% 4.84% 4.89% 85.348M ADA
6 hours 0.5047 0.478 0.4978 -0.02% 5.29% 6.26% 109.817M ADA
8 hours 0.5071 0.478 0.4999 -0.82% 5.74% 7.66% 157.196M ADA
12 hours 0.5047 0.4673 0.4803 -3.66% 7.41% 10.97% 180.094M ADA

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 1.75x 1.50x Ordinary
Ethereum 2.23x 1.46x Strong
XRP 1.43x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 1.42x 1.42x Quiet
Solana 1.64x 1.38x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.53x 1.38x Ordinary
TRON 2.15x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 1.68x 1.35x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.43x 1.43x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.56x 1.34x Ordinary
Hedera 1.46x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.98x 1.42x Strong
Litecoin 1.81x 1.39x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.21x 1.33x Quiet
Uniswap 2.35x 1.34x Strong
Polkadot 2.03x 1.32x Strong
Aave 1.88x 1.38x Strong
NEAR Protocol 1.48x 1.24x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.21x 1.45x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.19x 1.40x Quiet
Filecoin 1.23x 1.27x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Cardano

Questions about this page

Is 1.68x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.35x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Cardano moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.