How Cardano reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 10 December 2020

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Cardano's price swung 2.08 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.35 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

2.08x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.44x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.62x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.1427
15 minutes later
−0.82%
One hour later
−0.04%
range 2.52%, hour before 1.72%
ADA/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.1459
Close
0.1375
24h change
-6.17%
24h high
0.1481
24h low
0.1373
24h volume
305.787M ADA

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 2.08x, against 1.35x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.44x, against a typical 1.62x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.1427 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.82% lower, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.52% of its price, against 1.72% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 10 December 2020 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 873K for the week ending 5th Dec, from 737K in the week ending 28th Nov.

It arrived at the same moment as Consumer Price Index, Core Consumer Price Index, Core Inflation Rate and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.30x across 92, against 1.36x across 202. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 16 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.08x compares with 1.30x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 294 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's median volatility ratio is 1.35x.

How it compares

Across 294 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's usual price swing is 1.35x. This one was 1.55 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.35x. Thick line: this release, 2.08x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.14269 0.14237 0.14259 -0.07% 0.22% 0.32% 109,926 ADA
5 minutes 0.14316 0.14237 0.14295 0.18% 0.55% 0.40% 867,386 ADA
10 minutes 0.14316 0.14202 0.14215 -0.38% 0.80% 0.42% 2.378M ADA
15 minutes 0.14316 0.14116 0.14152 -0.83% 1.40% 0.52% 5.447M ADA
30 minutes 0.14448 0.14116 0.1443 1.12% 2.30% 1.19% 14.028M ADA
1 hour 0.14476 0.14116 0.14264 -0.04% 2.49% 1.70% 24.555M ADA
2 hours 0.14476 0.13906 0.14106 -1.16% 3.94% 1.83% 49.06M ADA
4 hours 0.14476 0.13906 0.14296 0.19% 3.94% 4.23% 77.251M ADA
6 hours 0.14476 0.13906 0.14147 -0.86% 3.94% 4.23% 98.36M ADA
8 hours 0.14806 0.13906 0.14296 -3.41% 6.08% 2.78% 143.301M ADA
12 hours 0.14476 0.13733 0.13745 -3.81% 5.13% 4.23% 176.583M ADA

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 1.66x 1.52x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.37x 1.47x Quiet
XRP 1.62x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.61x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 2.05x 1.39x Strong
Dogecoin 1.64x 1.39x Ordinary
TRON 1.39x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 2.08x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 1.90x 1.43x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.55x 1.34x Ordinary
Hedera 1.75x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 0.67x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 2.02x 1.38x Strong
Uniswap 2.01x 1.35x Strong
Polkadot 1.50x 1.31x Ordinary
Aave 1.52x 1.38x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 1.66x 1.24x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.54x 1.42x Ordinary
Filecoin 0.86x 1.27x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Cardano

Questions about this page

Is 2.08x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.35x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Cardano moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.