How Litecoin reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 12 April 2018

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Litecoin's price swung 1.71 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.38 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.73% lower.

1.71x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
2.33x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.61x
Price at 8:30 AM
$122.60
15 minutes later
−0.10%
One hour later
−0.73%
range 2.32%, hour before 7.05%
LTC/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
117.89
Close
129.20
24h change
8.75%
24h high
130.90
24h low
112.92
24h volume
234,394 LTC

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 12 April 2018 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 234K for the week ending 7th Apr, from 232K in the week ending 31st Mar.

It arrived at the same moment as Import Price Index, Export Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Litecoin moved

Litecoin was at $122.60 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.1% lower, and an hour later 0.73% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.32% of its price, against 7.05% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Litecoin's volatility ratio was 1.71x, against 1.38x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.33x, against a typical 1.61x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Litecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.42x across 92, against 1.35x across 204. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.71x compares with 1.35x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Litecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.38x.

How it compares

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Litecoin's usual price swing is 1.38x. This one was 1.24 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.38x. Thick line: this release, 1.71x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 123.00 122.53 123.00 0.33% 0.38% 0.38% 285 LTC
5 minutes 123.26 122.00 122.18 -0.34% 1.02% 1.01% 1,469 LTC
10 minutes 123.26 121.55 121.81 -0.65% 1.39% 1.50% 2,415 LTC
15 minutes 123.26 121.55 122.48 -0.10% 1.39% 1.50% 3,550 LTC
30 minutes 123.38 121.55 122.68 0.07% 1.48% 2.45% 5,805 LTC
1 hour 123.38 120.54 121.70 -0.74% 2.30% 6.80% 15,488 LTC
2 hours 123.38 120.54 122.67 0.06% 2.30% 10.68% 24,505 LTC
4 hours 123.38 120.21 120.51 -1.73% 2.57% 10.86% 37,100 LTC
6 hours 123.38 118.74 121.35 -1.03% 3.76% 11.09% 50,928 LTC
8 hours 127.00 113.21 120.51 5.17% 10.86% 4.37% 117,800 LTC
12 hours 130.90 118.74 129.20 5.11% 9.29% 11.09% 115,372 LTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.42x 1.52x Strong
Ethereum 1.98x 1.47x Strong
BNB 0.77x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 1.71x 1.38x Ordinary

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Litecoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.71x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.38x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Litecoin moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.