How BNB reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 14 November 2019

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, BNB's price swung 1.75 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.42 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.42% higher.

1.75x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
5.57x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.66x
Price at 8:30 AM
$21.18
15 minutes later
+0.47%
One hour later
+0.42%
range 1.42%, hour before 1.42%
BNB/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
21.59
Close
21.09
24h change
-2.37%
24h high
21.65
24h low
20.71
24h volume
1.133M BNB

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 14 November 2019 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 227K for the week ending 9th Nov, from 214K in the week ending 2nd Nov.

It arrived at the same moment as Producer Price Index, Core Producer Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How BNB moved

BNB was at $21.18 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.47% higher, and an hour later 0.42% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.42% of its price, against 1.42% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

BNB's volatility ratio was 1.75x, against 1.42x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.57x, against a typical 1.66x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved BNB about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.51x across 92, against 1.40x across 204. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.75x compares with 1.40x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, BNB's median volatility ratio is 1.42x.

How it compares

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, BNB's usual price swing is 1.42x. This one was 1.23 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.42x. Thick line: this release, 1.75x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 21.20 21.16 21.18 0.00% 0.19% 0.09% 3,027 BNB
5 minutes 21.21 21.16 21.20 0.09% 0.24% 0.38% 12,315 BNB
10 minutes 21.26 21.13 21.24 0.28% 0.61% 0.57% 34,378 BNB
15 minutes 21.29 21.13 21.28 0.47% 0.75% 0.71% 43,762 BNB
30 minutes 21.35 21.13 21.27 0.42% 1.03% 1.27% 66,831 BNB
1 hour 21.35 21.05 21.27 0.42% 1.41% 1.42% 106,623 BNB
2 hours 21.35 21.05 21.24 0.28% 1.41% 1.46% 149,418 BNB
4 hours 21.35 21.05 21.27 0.42% 1.41% 1.46% 208,210 BNB
6 hours 21.35 21.05 21.07 -0.52% 1.41% 2.22% 251,671 BNB
8 hours 21.35 20.87 21.27 1.46% 2.25% 4.34% 327,182 BNB
12 hours 21.35 21.00 21.09 -0.43% 1.64% 4.34% 461,997 BNB

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 3.08x 1.52x Exceptional
Ethereum 2.40x 1.47x Strong
XRP 3.97x 1.18x Exceptional
BNB 1.75x 1.42x Ordinary
Dogecoin 2.01x 1.39x Strong
TRON 2.27x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 4.00x 1.35x Exceptional
Chainlink 2.44x 1.43x Strong
Hedera 2.30x 1.32x Strong
Litecoin 2.47x 1.38x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.61x 1.42x Ordinary

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for BNB

Questions about this page

Is 1.75x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.42x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range BNB moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.