How NEAR Protocol reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 14 September 2023

The short answer

NEAR Protocol was at $1.090 when the figure came out, and an hour later it was 1.83% higher. The size of the swing against a normal quarter hour has not been measured for this release.

Trading (volume ratio)
1.60x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.63x
Price at 8:30 AM
$1.090
15 minutes later
+0.92%
One hour later
+1.83%
range 1.83%, hour before 0.92%
NEAR/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.090
Close
1.110
24h change
1.80%
24h high
1.120
24h low
1.090
24h volume
3.619M NEAR

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 14 September 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims was unchanged at 227K for the week ending 9th Sep.

It arrived at the same moment as Retail Sales, Retail Sales Excluding Automobiles, Producer Price Index, Core Producer Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $1.090 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.92% higher, and an hour later 1.83% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.83% of its price, against 0.92% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volume ratio was 1.60x, against a typical 1.63x. Its volatility ratio could not be measured: the price barely moved through the rest of the day, so there is no ordinary quarter hour to compare against. The ratio compares the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.05x across 91, against 1.32x across 198. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 20 September rate decision.

Its record

Across 289 Initial Claims releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's median volatility ratio is 1.24x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 1.09 1.09 1.09 0.00% 0.00% 0.91% 1,368 NEAR
5 minutes 1.10 1.09 1.09 0.00% 0.91% 0.91% 16,945 NEAR
10 minutes 1.10 1.09 1.10 0.91% 0.91% 0.91% 24,452 NEAR
15 minutes 1.10 1.09 1.10 0.91% 0.91% 0.91% 33,729 NEAR
30 minutes 1.11 1.09 1.11 1.80% 1.80% 0.91% 92,960 NEAR
1 hour 1.11 1.09 1.11 1.80% 1.80% 0.91% 364,029 NEAR
2 hours 1.11 1.09 1.11 1.80% 1.80% 0.91% 716,125 NEAR
4 hours 1.12 1.09 1.11 1.80% 2.68% 0.91% 1.057M NEAR
6 hours 1.12 1.09 1.12 2.68% 2.68% 0.91% 1.24M NEAR
8 hours 1.12 1.09 1.11 1.80% 2.68% 1.80% 1.428M NEAR
12 hours 1.12 1.09 1.11 1.80% 2.68% 1.80% 1.719M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.18x 1.50x Strong
Ethereum 1.72x 1.46x Ordinary
XRP 1.48x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 1.25x 1.42x Quiet
Solana 1.31x 1.38x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.37x 1.38x Quiet
TRON 1.48x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.01x 1.35x Quiet
Chainlink 0.50x 1.43x Quiet
Sui 1.77x 1.24x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.37x 1.34x Quiet
Hedera 1.98x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 1.33x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 1.53x 1.39x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 1.36x 1.33x Quiet
Uniswap 2.00x 1.34x Strong
Polkadot 2.01x 1.32x Strong
Aave 1.40x 1.38x Quiet
NEAR Protocol Not measured 1.24x -
Aptos 1.00x 1.41x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.00x 1.45x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.73x 1.40x Ordinary
Filecoin 2.00x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for NEAR Protocol

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.