How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 14 July 2022

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, POL (prev. MATIC)'s price swung 2.59 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.42 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.05% higher.

2.59x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.43x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.6205
15 minutes later
+2.01%
One hour later
+1.05%
range 5.38%, hour before 1.80%
POL/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.6400
Close
0.7047
24h change
9.18%
24h high
0.7190
24h low
0.6129
24h volume
370.187M POL

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 2.59x, against 1.42x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.43x, against a typical 1.56x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.6205 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 2.01% higher, and an hour later 1.05% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 5.38% of its price, against 1.8% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 14 July 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 212K for the week ending 9th Jul, from 215K in the week ending 2nd Jul.

It arrived at the same moment as Producer Price Index, Core Producer Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.49x across 90, against 1.39x across 201. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 27 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.59x compares with 1.49x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 291 Initial Claims releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s median volatility ratio is 1.42x.

How it compares

Across 291 Initial Claims releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.42x. This one was 1.82 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.42x. Thick line: this release, 2.59x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.6218 0.6166 0.6212 0.11% 0.84% 0.23% 1.009M POL
5 minutes 0.6297 0.6166 0.629 1.35% 2.08% 0.48% 2.956M POL
10 minutes 0.6354 0.6166 0.6344 2.19% 2.96% 0.83% 5.433M POL
15 minutes 0.6362 0.6166 0.633 1.97% 3.08% 1.04% 7.445M POL
30 minutes 0.6362 0.6166 0.6334 2.04% 3.08% 1.61% 11.157M POL
1 hour 0.65 0.6166 0.627 1.04% 5.14% 1.79% 25.301M POL
2 hours 0.65 0.6166 0.6223 0.29% 5.14% 2.72% 42.458M POL
4 hours 0.68 0.6166 0.6657 6.79% 9.32% 3.05% 104.176M POL
6 hours 0.7071 0.6166 0.7006 11.43% 12.80% 4.59% 153.294M POL
8 hours 0.68 0.6129 0.6657 5.48% 9.87% 4.41% 153.87M POL
12 hours 0.719 0.6166 0.7047 11.95% 14.24% 6.54% 224.538M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.57x 1.52x Strong
Ethereum 2.70x 1.47x Strong
XRP 2.94x 1.18x Exceptional
BNB 2.83x 1.42x Strong
Solana 2.40x 1.39x Strong
Dogecoin 2.82x 1.39x Exceptional
TRON 2.52x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.85x 1.35x Exceptional
Chainlink 2.08x 1.43x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.04x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 2.33x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 2.16x 1.42x Strong
Litecoin 2.74x 1.38x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.38x 1.34x Strong
Uniswap 1.98x 1.35x Strong
Polkadot 2.54x 1.31x Strong
Aave 2.24x 1.38x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.55x 1.24x Exceptional
Internet Computer 1.22x 1.46x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.59x 1.42x Strong
Filecoin 2.37x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 2.59x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.42x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.