How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 31 October 2019

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, POL (prev. MATIC)'s price swung 2.14 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.42 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.52% lower.

2.14x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
5.39x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.0136
15 minutes later
−0.07%
One hour later
−0.52%
range 1.10%, hour before 1.84%
POL/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.0134
Close
0.0135
24h change
0.74%
24h high
0.0139
24h low
0.0132
24h volume
106.88M POL

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 2.14x, against 1.42x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.39x, against a typical 1.56x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.0136 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.07% lower, and an hour later 0.52% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.1% of its price, against 1.84% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 31 October 2019 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 215K for the week ending 26th Oct, from 210K in the week ending 19th Oct.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.49x across 90, against 1.39x across 201. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 30 October rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.14x compares with 1.39x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 291 Initial Claims releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s median volatility ratio is 1.42x.

How it compares

Across 291 Initial Claims releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.42x. This one was 1.51 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.42x. Thick line: this release, 2.14x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.01361 0.01354 0.01356 -0.22% 0.51% 0.00% 265,858 POL
5 minutes 0.01362 0.01352 0.01362 0.22% 0.73% 0.15% 1.962M POL
10 minutes 0.01367 0.01352 0.01366 0.51% 1.10% 0.44% 2.583M POL
15 minutes 0.01367 0.01352 0.01358 -0.07% 1.10% 0.95% 4.002M POL
30 minutes 0.01367 0.01352 0.01358 -0.07% 1.10% 1.46% 6.265M POL
1 hour 0.01367 0.01352 0.01352 -0.52% 1.10% 1.83% 7.485M POL
2 hours 0.01367 0.0134 0.01357 -0.15% 1.98% 2.78% 12.407M POL
4 hours 0.01367 0.0134 0.01348 -0.82% 1.98% 3.15% 18.269M POL
6 hours 0.01367 0.0134 0.01353 -0.44% 1.98% 3.15% 25.787M POL
8 hours 0.01367 0.01324 0.01348 -0.82% 3.15% 2.85% 41.206M POL
12 hours 0.01388 0.0134 0.01349 -0.74% 3.46% 3.36% 57.891M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 1.92x 1.52x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.47x 1.47x Quiet
XRP 1.57x 1.18x Strong
BNB 0.91x 1.42x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.74x 1.39x Ordinary
TRON 1.19x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.12x 1.35x Quiet
Chainlink 0.50x 1.43x Quiet
Hedera 0.57x 1.32x Quiet
Litecoin 1.09x 1.38x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.14x 1.42x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 2.14x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.42x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.