How Litecoin reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 14 March 2019

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Litecoin's price swung 1.46 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.39 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.20% higher.

1.46x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.41x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.59x
Price at 8:30 AM
$55.63
15 minutes later
0.00%
One hour later
+0.20%
range 0.54%, hour before 0.90%
LTC/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
55.02
Close
56.11
24h change
1.94%
24h high
58.20
24h low
51.66
24h volume
337,333 LTC

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 14 March 2019 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 218K for the week ending 9th Mar, from 216K in the week ending 2nd Mar.

It arrived at the same moment as Import Price Index, Export Price Index and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Litecoin's volatility ratio was 1.46x, against 1.39x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.41x, against a typical 1.59x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Litecoin moved

Litecoin was at $55.63 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.2% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.54% of its price, against 0.9% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Litecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.42x across 94, against 1.35x across 209. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 20 March rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.46x compares with 1.42x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Litecoin's usual price swing is 1.39x. This one was 1.05 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.39x. Thick line: this release, 1.46x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 55.63 55.55 55.57 -0.11% 0.14% 0.41% 44 LTC
5 minutes 55.75 55.48 55.69 0.11% 0.48% 0.77% 928 LTC
10 minutes 55.77 55.48 55.66 0.05% 0.52% 0.90% 1,657 LTC
15 minutes 55.77 55.48 55.63 0.00% 0.52% 0.90% 2,153 LTC
30 minutes 55.77 55.48 55.57 -0.11% 0.52% 0.90% 3,397 LTC
1 hour 55.77 55.47 55.74 0.20% 0.54% 0.90% 5,240 LTC
2 hours 58.20 51.66 54.97 -1.20% 11.24% 1.27% 122,356 LTC
4 hours 58.20 51.66 55.84 0.38% 11.24% 1.27% 183,830 LTC
6 hours 58.20 51.66 55.93 0.54% 11.24% 1.45% 210,769 LTC
8 hours 58.20 51.66 55.84 0.70% 11.24% 2.36% 204,516 LTC
12 hours 58.20 51.66 56.11 0.86% 11.24% 2.36% 247,160 LTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 1.64x 1.50x Ordinary
Ethereum 2.43x 1.46x Strong
XRP 1.55x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.01x 1.42x Quiet
TRON 2.00x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.50x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 0.76x 1.43x Quiet
Litecoin 1.46x 1.39x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Litecoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.46x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Litecoin moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.