How Filecoin reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 17 September 2026

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Filecoin's price swung 1.91 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.27 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

1.91x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
4.31x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.43x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.811
15 minutes later
+0.59%
One hour later
−0.05%
range 1.61%, hour before 1.94%
FIL/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.805
Close
0.835
24h change
3.55%
24h high
0.849
24h low
0.787
24h volume
13.885M FIL

Measured by Clometrix

Filecoin's volatility ratio was 1.91x, against 1.27x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.31x, against a typical 1.43x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Filecoin moved

Filecoin was at $0.811 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.59% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.61% of its price, against 1.94% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 17 September 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 196K for the week ending 12th Sep, from 206K in the week ending 5th Sep.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Filecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.34x across 94, against 1.27x across 209. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 16 September rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.91x compares with 1.27x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Filecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.27x.

How it compares

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Filecoin's usual price swing is 1.27x. This one was 1.50 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.27x. Thick line: this release, 1.91x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.8147 0.81 0.8136 0.28% 0.58% 0.14% 57,576 FIL
5 minutes 0.8147 0.81 0.8132 0.23% 0.58% 0.48% 114,676 FIL
10 minutes 0.818 0.81 0.8171 0.71% 0.98% 0.64% 261,133 FIL
15 minutes 0.8191 0.81 0.8161 0.59% 1.11% 0.85% 415,741 FIL
30 minutes 0.8191 0.81 0.8122 0.11% 1.11% 1.53% 627,195 FIL
1 hour 0.8191 0.806 0.8109 -0.05% 1.60% 1.93% 1.135M FIL
2 hours 0.8276 0.806 0.825 1.66% 2.61% 1.93% 2.413M FIL
4 hours 0.8331 0.806 0.8273 1.93% 3.25% 2.20% 4.145M FIL
6 hours 0.8331 0.806 0.8181 0.83% 3.25% 2.20% 4.957M FIL
8 hours 0.8331 0.794 0.8273 3.74% 4.69% 2.56% 6.165M FIL
12 hours 0.8488 0.806 0.8348 2.82% 5.04% 3.07% 7.251M FIL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.23x 1.50x Strong
Ethereum 2.67x 1.46x Strong
XRP 0.99x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 2.32x 1.42x Strong
Solana 1.58x 1.38x Ordinary
Dogecoin 1.50x 1.38x Quiet
TRON 2.00x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 1.73x 1.35x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.19x 1.43x Quiet
Sui 1.75x 1.24x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.44x 1.34x Quiet
Hedera 0.95x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.48x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 1.46x 1.39x Quiet
Gram Not measured 1.02x -
Shiba Inu 1.01x 1.33x Quiet
Uniswap 1.34x 1.34x Quiet
Polkadot 1.02x 1.32x Quiet
Aave 1.27x 1.38x Quiet
Bittensor 1.56x 1.40x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 0.54x 1.24x Quiet
Aptos 1.00x 1.41x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.00x 1.45x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.07x 1.40x Strong
Filecoin 1.91x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Filecoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.91x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.27x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Filecoin moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.