How NEAR Protocol reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 20 November 2025

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volatility ratio was 2.51x, against 1.24x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.87x, against a typical 1.63x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $2.350 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.28% lower, and an hour later 0.85% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 3.4% of its price, against 1.28% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 20 November 2025 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 220K for the week ending 15th Nov, from 228K in the week ending 8th Nov.

It arrived at the same moment as Non-Farm Payrolls, Non-Farm Private Payrolls, Unemployment Rate and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.07x across 89, against 1.31x across 193. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.51x compares with 1.31x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 282 Initial Claims releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's median volatility ratio is 1.24x.

How it compares

Across 282 Initial Claims releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's usual price swing is 1.24x. This one was 2.02 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.24x. Thick line: this release, 2.51x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After	High	Low	Close	Change	Range	Range before	Volume
1 minute	2.36	2.35	2.36	0.42%	0.42%	0.43%	222,964 NEAR
5 minutes	2.37	2.34	2.34	-0.43%	1.27%	0.43%	585,636 NEAR
10 minutes	2.37	2.33	2.34	-0.43%	1.69%	0.43%	887,005 NEAR
15 minutes	2.37	2.32	2.32	-1.29%	2.11%	0.85%	1.168M NEAR
30 minutes	2.37	2.32	2.32	-1.29%	2.11%	0.85%	1.726M NEAR
1 hour	2.37	2.29	2.33	-0.86%	3.38%	1.27%	2.617M NEAR
2 hours	2.37	2.27	2.29	-2.62%	4.22%	1.69%	4.458M NEAR
4 hours	2.37	2.13	2.17	-8.29%	10.13%	1.69%	11.447M NEAR
6 hours	2.37	2.10	2.12	-10.85%	11.39%	2.92%	15.201M NEAR
8 hours	2.37	2.13	2.17	-9.22%	10.13%	2.49%	15.08M NEAR
12 hours	2.37	2.05	2.08	-12.98%	13.50%	3.32%	21.883M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin	Price swing	Usual for Initial Claims	Reaction
Bitcoin	2.32x	1.52x	Strong
Ethereum	2.66x	1.47x	Strong
XRP	1.91x	1.18x	Strong
BNB	2.50x	1.42x	Strong
Solana	2.30x	1.39x	Strong
Dogecoin	2.15x	1.39x	Strong
TRON	1.34x	1.33x	Quiet
Cardano	2.34x	1.35x	Strong
Chainlink	3.06x	1.43x	Exceptional
Sui	2.98x	1.24x	Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash	1.93x	1.34x	Strong
Hedera	1.87x	1.32x	Strong
Avalanche	2.12x	1.42x	Strong
Litecoin	2.17x	1.38x	Strong
Gram	3.00x	1.02x	Exceptional
Shiba Inu	1.90x	1.34x	Strong
Uniswap	2.52x	1.35x	Strong
Polkadot	1.47x	1.31x	Quiet
Aave	2.70x	1.38x	Strong
Bittensor	2.16x	1.41x	Strong
NEAR Protocol	2.51x	1.24x	Exceptional
Aptos	2.30x	1.41x	Strong
Internet Computer	1.33x	1.46x	Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC)	1.98x	1.42x	Strong
Filecoin	2.01x	1.27x	Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for NEAR Protocol

Questions about this page

Is 2.51x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.24x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range NEAR Protocol moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.