How Internet Computer reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 1 May 2025

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Internet Computer's price swung 3.03 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.45 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

3.03x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
7.85x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.59x
Price at 8:30 AM
$4.900
15 minutes later
+0.41%
One hour later
0.00%
range 1.43%, hour before 2.04%
ICP/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
4.940
Close
5.000
24h change
1.20%
24h high
5.030
24h low
4.830
24h volume
1.962M ICP

Measured by Clometrix

Internet Computer's volatility ratio was 3.03x, against 1.45x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 7.85x, against a typical 1.59x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Internet Computer moved

Internet Computer was at $4.900 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.41% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.43% of its price, against 2.04% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 1 May 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 241K for the week ending 26th Apr, from 223K in the week ending 19th Apr.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Internet Computer about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.51x across 88, against 1.33x across 197. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 7 May rate decision. Its own ratio of 3.03x compares with 1.51x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 285 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Internet Computer's median volatility ratio is 1.45x.

How it compares

Across 285 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Internet Computer's usual price swing is 1.45x. This one was 2.09 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.45x. Thick line: this release, 3.03x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 4.90 4.89 4.89 -0.20% 0.20% 0.00% 8,397 ICP
5 minutes 4.90 4.88 4.88 -0.41% 0.41% 0.41% 46,426 ICP
10 minutes 4.91 4.87 4.91 0.20% 0.81% 0.81% 93,659 ICP
15 minutes 4.93 4.87 4.92 0.41% 1.22% 0.81% 99,890 ICP
30 minutes 4.93 4.87 4.91 0.20% 1.22% 2.01% 206,975 ICP
1 hour 4.93 4.86 4.90 0.00% 1.42% 2.01% 348,976 ICP
2 hours 4.93 4.83 4.89 -0.20% 2.03% 2.98% 487,741 ICP
4 hours 4.98 4.83 4.96 1.21% 3.01% 2.98% 711,687 ICP
6 hours 4.99 4.83 4.93 0.61% 3.21% 2.98% 844,198 ICP
8 hours 5.03 4.83 4.96 -0.81% 3.98% 1.60% 1.236M ICP
12 hours 5.00 4.83 5.00 2.00% 3.40% 2.98% 1.064M ICP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 1.67x 1.50x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.62x 1.46x Ordinary
XRP 1.00x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 0.78x 1.42x Quiet
Solana 1.86x 1.38x Strong
Dogecoin 1.20x 1.38x Quiet
TRON 1.75x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 0.94x 1.35x Quiet
Chainlink 0.84x 1.43x Quiet
Sui 1.41x 1.24x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 0.89x 1.34x Quiet
Hedera 1.84x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 0.74x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 1.16x 1.39x Quiet
Gram 0.99x 1.02x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.30x 1.33x Quiet
Uniswap 1.68x 1.34x Ordinary
Polkadot 1.00x 1.32x Quiet
Aave 1.68x 1.38x Ordinary
Bittensor 1.26x 1.40x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 1.95x 1.24x Strong
Aptos 2.43x 1.41x Strong
Internet Computer 3.03x 1.45x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 4.29x 1.40x Exceptional
Filecoin 1.98x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Internet Computer

Questions about this page

Is 3.03x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.45x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Internet Computer moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.