How Cardano reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 24 January 2019

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Cardano's price swung 1.50 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.35 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.35% higher.

1.50x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
1.27x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.63x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.0428
15 minutes later
−0.02%
One hour later
+0.35%
range 0.72%, hour before 0.65%
ADA/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.0426
Close
0.0429
24h change
0.68%
24h high
0.0434
24h low
0.0422
24h volume
56.241M ADA

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 24 January 2019 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 214K for the week ending 19th Jan, from 218K in the week ending 12th Jan.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.0428 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.35% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.72% of its price, against 0.65% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 1.50x, against 1.35x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.27x, against a typical 1.63x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.30x across 94, against 1.35x across 207. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 30 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.50x compares with 1.30x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's median volatility ratio is 1.35x.

How it compares

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's usual price swing is 1.35x. This one was 1.12 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.35x. Thick line: this release, 1.50x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.04276 0.04275 0.04276 0.00% 0.02% 0.05% 12,922 ADA
5 minutes 0.04282 0.04275 0.04279 0.07% 0.16% 0.12% 118,743 ADA
10 minutes 0.0429 0.04275 0.04284 0.19% 0.35% 0.21% 218,432 ADA
15 minutes 0.0429 0.04272 0.04275 -0.02% 0.42% 0.26% 535,973 ADA
30 minutes 0.0429 0.04264 0.04285 0.21% 0.61% 0.47% 969,480 ADA
1 hour 0.04295 0.04264 0.04291 0.35% 0.72% 0.65% 2.047M ADA
2 hours 0.04295 0.04253 0.04256 -0.47% 0.98% 0.81% 3.616M ADA
4 hours 0.04295 0.04245 0.04251 -0.59% 1.16% 1.72% 6.411M ADA
6 hours 0.04327 0.04245 0.04302 0.60% 1.90% 1.72% 13.146M ADA
8 hours 0.04295 0.04221 0.04251 0.09% 1.72% 1.17% 17.79M ADA
12 hours 0.04342 0.04245 0.0429 0.33% 2.23% 1.82% 28.628M ADA

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 0.87x 1.50x Quiet
Ethereum 1.06x 1.46x Quiet
XRP 0.84x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 2.01x 1.42x Strong
TRON 0.72x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.50x 1.35x Ordinary
Litecoin 0.82x 1.39x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Cardano

Questions about this page

Is 1.50x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.35x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Cardano moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.