How Hedera reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 6 August 2020

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Hedera's price swung 1.56 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.32 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.26% higher.

1.56x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
1.04x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.042870
15 minutes later
−0.21%
One hour later
+0.26%
range 1.26%, hour before 1.40%
HBAR/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.043310
Close
0.045640
24h change
5.11%
24h high
0.045880
24h low
0.042520
24h volume
49.09M HBAR

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 6 August 2020 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 1044K for the week ending 1st Aug, from 1260K in the week ending 25th Jul.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Hedera moved

Hedera was at $0.042870 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.21% lower, and an hour later 0.26% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.26% of its price, against 1.4% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Hedera's volatility ratio was 1.56x, against 1.32x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.04x, against a typical 1.56x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Hedera about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.41x across 92, against 1.30x across 204. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.56x compares with 1.30x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Hedera's median volatility ratio is 1.32x.

How it compares

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Hedera's usual price swing is 1.32x. This one was 1.18 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.32x. Thick line: this release, 1.56x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.04288 0.04287 0.04288 0.02% 0.02% 0.05% 6,216 HBAR
5 minutes 0.04293 0.04281 0.04281 -0.14% 0.28% 0.35% 55,602 HBAR
10 minutes 0.04294 0.0426 0.04292 0.12% 0.79% 0.49% 297,467 HBAR
15 minutes 0.04294 0.0426 0.04278 -0.21% 0.79% 0.49% 320,495 HBAR
30 minutes 0.04295 0.04252 0.04274 -0.30% 1.00% 1.25% 670,057 HBAR
1 hour 0.04306 0.04252 0.04298 0.26% 1.25% 1.39% 1.843M HBAR
2 hours 0.04312 0.04252 0.04277 -0.23% 1.39% 1.39% 3.41M HBAR
4 hours 0.04325 0.04252 0.04307 0.46% 1.69% 1.39% 9.397M HBAR
6 hours 0.0446 0.04252 0.04425 3.12% 4.66% 1.39% 19.161M HBAR
8 hours 0.04327 0.04252 0.04307 -0.35% 1.73% 1.95% 12.399M HBAR
12 hours 0.04588 0.04252 0.04564 6.07% 7.32% 1.95% 35.704M HBAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 0.91x 1.52x Quiet
Ethereum 1.04x 1.47x Quiet
XRP 0.81x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 0.70x 1.42x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.96x 1.39x Quiet
TRON 1.56x 1.33x Ordinary
Cardano 1.27x 1.35x Quiet
Chainlink 1.00x 1.43x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.91x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 1.56x 1.32x Ordinary
Litecoin 2.62x 1.38x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.16x 1.42x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Hedera

Questions about this page

Is 1.56x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.32x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Hedera moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.