How NEAR Protocol reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 10 October 2024

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, NEAR Protocol's price swung 4.44 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.24 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.08% lower.

4.44x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
5.11x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.63x
Price at 8:30 AM
$4.630
15 minutes later
−1.30%
One hour later
−1.08%
range 2.16%, hour before 0.65%
NEAR/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
4.570
Close
4.580
24h change
0.22%
24h high
4.680
24h low
4.420
24h volume
7.955M NEAR

Measured by Clometrix

NEAR Protocol's volatility ratio was 4.44x, against 1.24x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 5.11x, against a typical 1.63x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How NEAR Protocol moved

NEAR Protocol was at $4.630 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.3% lower, and an hour later 1.08% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.16% of its price, against 0.65% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 10 October 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 259K for the week ending 5th Oct, from 227K in the week ending 28th Sep.

It arrived at the same moment as Consumer Price Index, Core Consumer Price Index, Core Inflation Rate and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved NEAR Protocol less than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.07x across 89, against 1.31x across 193. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 4.44x compares with 1.31x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 282 Initial Claims releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's median volatility ratio is 1.24x.

How it compares

Across 282 Initial Claims releases since 2021, NEAR Protocol's usual price swing is 1.24x. This one was 3.57 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.24x. Thick line: this release, 4.44x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 4.63 4.59 4.60 -0.65% 0.86% 0.22% 80,448 NEAR
5 minutes 4.63 4.57 4.58 -1.09% 1.30% 0.22% 173,487 NEAR
10 minutes 4.63 4.55 4.56 -1.54% 1.73% 0.43% 281,793 NEAR
15 minutes 4.63 4.54 4.57 -1.31% 1.94% 0.43% 341,465 NEAR
30 minutes 4.63 4.54 4.55 -1.76% 1.94% 0.65% 465,395 NEAR
1 hour 4.63 4.53 4.58 -1.09% 2.16% 0.65% 723,250 NEAR
2 hours 4.63 4.48 4.50 -2.89% 3.24% 0.86% 1.45M NEAR
4 hours 4.63 4.48 4.51 -2.66% 3.24% 2.59% 2.195M NEAR
6 hours 4.63 4.42 4.46 -3.81% 4.54% 3.21% 3.323M NEAR
8 hours 4.64 4.48 4.51 -2.44% 3.45% 2.56% 3.609M NEAR
12 hours 4.63 4.42 4.58 -1.09% 4.54% 3.42% 4.74M NEAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 3.80x 1.52x Exceptional
Ethereum 3.92x 1.47x Exceptional
XRP 2.05x 1.18x Strong
BNB 3.62x 1.42x Exceptional
Solana 4.66x 1.39x Exceptional
Dogecoin 4.14x 1.39x Exceptional
TRON 1.33x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 3.66x 1.35x Exceptional
Chainlink 3.68x 1.43x Exceptional
Sui 2.07x 1.24x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.93x 1.34x Exceptional
Hedera 2.36x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 3.11x 1.42x Exceptional
Litecoin 3.28x 1.38x Exceptional
Gram 3.53x 1.02x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 3.17x 1.34x Exceptional
Uniswap 2.87x 1.35x Exceptional
Polkadot 6.00x 1.31x Exceptional
Aave 2.91x 1.38x Exceptional
Bittensor 3.26x 1.41x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 4.44x 1.24x Exceptional
Aptos 2.46x 1.41x Strong
Internet Computer 3.25x 1.46x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.69x 1.42x Strong
Filecoin 4.00x 1.27x Exceptional

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for NEAR Protocol

Questions about this page

Is 4.44x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.24x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range NEAR Protocol moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.