How Polkadot reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 30 April 2026

The short answer

Polkadot was at $1.220 when the figure came out, and an hour later it was 0.82% lower. The size of the swing against a normal quarter hour has not been measured for this release.

Trading (volume ratio)
2.56x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.54x
Price at 8:30 AM
$1.220
15 minutes later
0.00%
One hour later
−0.82%
range 0.82%, hour before 0.82%
DOT/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.210
Close
1.210
24h change
0.00%
24h high
1.230
24h low
1.200
24h volume
3.153M DOT

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 30 April 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 189K for the week ending 25th Apr, from 214K in the week ending 18th Apr.

It arrived at the same moment as Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Continued Jobless Claims and Gross Domestic Product Report, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Polkadot moved

Polkadot was at $1.220 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.82% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.82% of its price, against 0.82% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Polkadot's volume ratio was 2.56x, against a typical 1.54x. Its volatility ratio could not be measured: the price barely moved through the rest of the day, so there is no ordinary quarter hour to compare against. The ratio compares the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Polkadot about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.41x across 93, against 1.27x across 208. This one came out the day after the Federal Reserve's 29 April rate decision.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Polkadot's median volatility ratio is 1.32x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 1.22 1.22 1.22 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 13,796 DOT
5 minutes 1.22 1.22 1.22 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 37,844 DOT
10 minutes 1.22 1.22 1.22 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 49,826 DOT
15 minutes 1.22 1.22 1.22 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 66,219 DOT
30 minutes 1.22 1.21 1.21 -0.83% 0.82% 0.82% 88,655 DOT
1 hour 1.22 1.21 1.21 -0.83% 0.82% 0.82% 161,227 DOT
2 hours 1.22 1.21 1.21 -0.83% 0.82% 0.82% 336,257 DOT
4 hours 1.22 1.21 1.21 -0.83% 0.82% 0.82% 569,551 DOT
6 hours 1.22 1.21 1.21 -0.83% 0.82% 1.64% 703,376 DOT
8 hours 1.22 1.21 1.21 0.00% 0.82% 2.44% 1.349M DOT
12 hours 1.22 1.20 1.21 -0.83% 1.64% 2.44% 1.186M DOT

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 1.78x 1.50x Ordinary
Ethereum 0.82x 1.46x Quiet
XRP Not measured 1.18x -
BNB 2.00x 1.42x Strong
Solana 0.86x 1.38x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.44x 1.38x Quiet
TRON 1.00x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.00x 1.35x Quiet
Chainlink 1.00x 1.43x Quiet
Sui 1.03x 1.24x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.37x 1.34x Quiet
Hedera 1.15x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.00x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 1.23x 1.39x Quiet
Gram 0.00x 1.02x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.00x 1.33x Quiet
Uniswap 0.99x 1.34x Quiet
Polkadot Not measured 1.32x -
Aave 0.80x 1.38x Quiet
Bittensor 1.25x 1.40x Quiet
NEAR Protocol Not measured 1.24x -
Aptos 0.00x 1.41x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.00x 1.45x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.99x 1.40x Quiet
Filecoin 1.00x 1.27x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Polkadot

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.