How Hedera reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 20 January 2022

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Hedera's price swung 1.94 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.32 times is usual. An hour later the price was 3.72% higher.

1.94x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.06x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.56x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.268600
15 minutes later
+1.19%
One hour later
+3.72%
range 4.17%, hour before 1.64%
HBAR/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.272700
Close
0.261700
24h change
-4.20%
24h high
0.282000
24h low
0.255900
24h volume
83.467M HBAR

Measured by Clometrix

Hedera's volatility ratio was 1.94x, against 1.32x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.06x, against a typical 1.56x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Hedera moved

Hedera was at $0.268600 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.19% higher, and an hour later 3.72% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 4.17% of its price, against 1.64% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 20 January 2022 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 245K for the week ending 15th Jan, from 247K in the week ending 8th Jan.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Hedera about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.41x across 92, against 1.30x across 204. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 26 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.94x compares with 1.41x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Hedera's median volatility ratio is 1.32x.

How it compares

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Hedera's usual price swing is 1.32x. This one was 1.47 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.32x. Thick line: this release, 1.94x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.2695 0.2686 0.2694 0.30% 0.33% 0.15% 61,949 HBAR
5 minutes 0.2703 0.2686 0.2703 0.63% 0.63% 0.37% 398,484 HBAR
10 minutes 0.2713 0.2686 0.271 0.89% 1.00% 0.45% 725,021 HBAR
15 minutes 0.2719 0.2686 0.2718 1.18% 1.21% 0.45% 1.288M HBAR
30 minutes 0.2739 0.2686 0.2738 1.90% 1.94% 1.11% 2.697M HBAR
1 hour 0.2798 0.2686 0.2786 3.59% 4.00% 1.62% 7.487M HBAR
2 hours 0.282 0.2686 0.2802 4.14% 4.75% 1.98% 12.543M HBAR
4 hours 0.282 0.2686 0.2789 3.69% 4.75% 2.37% 17.903M HBAR
6 hours 0.282 0.2686 0.2774 3.17% 4.75% 2.37% 27.073M HBAR
8 hours 0.282 0.2673 0.2789 2.40% 5.21% 3.72% 25.215M HBAR
12 hours 0.282 0.2559 0.2617 -2.64% 9.26% 3.72% 51.111M HBAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.80x 1.52x Strong
Ethereum 2.68x 1.47x Strong
XRP 2.34x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.80x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 2.20x 1.39x Strong
Dogecoin 1.62x 1.39x Ordinary
TRON 3.22x 1.33x Exceptional
Cardano 1.99x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 2.31x 1.43x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.27x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 1.94x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 3.17x 1.42x Exceptional
Litecoin 2.16x 1.38x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.07x 1.34x Strong
Uniswap 3.00x 1.35x Exceptional
Polkadot 2.20x 1.31x Strong
Aave 2.10x 1.38x Strong
NEAR Protocol 1.44x 1.24x Quiet
Internet Computer 2.29x 1.46x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.96x 1.42x Strong
Filecoin 2.99x 1.27x Exceptional

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Hedera

Questions about this page

Is 1.94x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.32x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Hedera moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.