How Dogecoin reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 20 January 2022

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Dogecoin's price swung 1.62 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.39 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.03% higher.

1.62x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
1.58x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.53x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.164300
15 minutes later
+0.67%
One hour later
+1.03%
range 1.40%, hour before 0.49%
DOGE/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.162300
Close
0.154900
24h change
-4.78%
24h high
0.169300
24h low
0.153300
24h volume
807.767M DOGE

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 20 January 2022 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 245K for the week ending 15th Jan, from 247K in the week ending 8th Jan.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Dogecoin moved

Dogecoin was at $0.164300 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.67% higher, and an hour later 1.03% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.4% of its price, against 0.49% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Dogecoin's volatility ratio was 1.62x, against 1.39x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.58x, against a typical 1.53x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Dogecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.51x across 92, against 1.34x across 204. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 26 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.62x compares with 1.51x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Dogecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.39x.

How it compares

Across 296 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Dogecoin's usual price swing is 1.39x. This one was 1.17 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.39x. Thick line: this release, 1.62x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.1644 0.1642 0.1643 0.00% 0.12% 0.12% 195,852 DOGE
5 minutes 0.1651 0.1642 0.165 0.42% 0.55% 0.18% 2.035M DOGE
10 minutes 0.1655 0.1642 0.1653 0.60% 0.79% 0.18% 6.177M DOGE
15 minutes 0.1655 0.1642 0.1654 0.67% 0.79% 0.36% 8.66M DOGE
30 minutes 0.1661 0.1642 0.1655 0.73% 1.14% 0.36% 15.292M DOGE
1 hour 0.1665 0.1642 0.166 1.02% 1.38% 0.49% 28.211M DOGE
2 hours 0.1693 0.1642 0.1677 2.03% 3.01% 0.91% 97.117M DOGE
4 hours 0.1693 0.1642 0.1659 0.96% 3.01% 0.91% 163.562M DOGE
6 hours 0.1693 0.1642 0.1655 0.73% 3.01% 0.91% 228.939M DOGE
8 hours 0.1693 0.1636 0.1659 1.08% 3.37% 2.65% 220.659M DOGE
12 hours 0.1693 0.1533 0.1549 -6.07% 9.45% 2.65% 640.943M DOGE

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.80x 1.52x Strong
Ethereum 2.68x 1.47x Strong
XRP 2.34x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.80x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 2.20x 1.39x Strong
Dogecoin 1.62x 1.39x Ordinary
TRON 3.22x 1.33x Exceptional
Cardano 1.99x 1.35x Strong
Chainlink 2.31x 1.43x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.27x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 1.94x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 3.17x 1.42x Exceptional
Litecoin 2.16x 1.38x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.07x 1.34x Strong
Uniswap 3.00x 1.35x Exceptional
Polkadot 2.20x 1.31x Strong
Aave 2.10x 1.38x Strong
NEAR Protocol 1.44x 1.24x Quiet
Internet Computer 2.29x 1.46x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.96x 1.42x Strong
Filecoin 2.99x 1.27x Exceptional

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Dogecoin

Questions about this page

Is 1.62x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.39x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Dogecoin moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.