How Aptos reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 22 January 2026

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Aptos's price swung 2.00 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.41 times is usual. An hour later the price was 1.27% lower.

2.00x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
3.90x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.81x
Price at 8:30 AM
$1.570
15 minutes later
−0.64%
One hour later
−1.27%
range 2.55%, hour before 0.64%
APT/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
1.570
Close
1.560
24h change
-0.64%
24h high
1.590
24h low
1.520
24h volume
6.056M APT

Measured by Clometrix

Aptos's volatility ratio was 2.00x, against 1.41x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.90x, against a typical 1.81x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Aptos moved

Aptos was at $1.570 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.64% lower, and an hour later 1.27% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.55% of its price, against 0.64% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 22 January 2026 at 8:30 AM EST. Initial Jobless Claims rose to 210K for the week ending 17th Jan, from 201K in the week ending 10th Jan.

It arrived at the same moment as Gross Domestic Product Report and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Aptos more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.61x across 66, against 1.35x across 144. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 28 January rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.00x compares with 1.61x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 210 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Aptos's median volatility ratio is 1.41x.

How it compares

Across 210 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Aptos's usual price swing is 1.41x. This one was 1.42 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.41x. Thick line: this release, 2.00x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 1.58 1.57 1.58 0.63% 0.63% 0.00% 24,979 APT
5 minutes 1.58 1.56 1.57 0.00% 1.27% 0.00% 81,774 APT
10 minutes 1.58 1.56 1.56 -0.64% 1.27% 0.64% 134,928 APT
15 minutes 1.58 1.56 1.56 -0.64% 1.27% 0.64% 192,514 APT
30 minutes 1.58 1.56 1.56 -0.64% 1.27% 0.64% 250,981 APT
1 hour 1.58 1.54 1.55 -1.29% 2.53% 0.64% 403,096 APT
2 hours 1.58 1.52 1.52 -3.29% 3.80% 0.64% 1.115M APT
4 hours 1.58 1.52 1.55 -1.29% 3.80% 1.27% 2.077M APT
6 hours 1.58 1.52 1.56 -0.64% 3.80% 1.90% 2.665M APT
8 hours 1.58 1.52 1.55 -1.29% 3.80% 2.52% 2.783M APT
12 hours 1.58 1.52 1.56 -0.64% 3.80% 2.52% 3.4M APT

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 4.47x 1.50x Exceptional
Ethereum 4.43x 1.46x Exceptional
XRP 2.02x 1.18x Strong
BNB 4.32x 1.42x Exceptional
Solana 3.44x 1.38x Exceptional
Dogecoin 3.25x 1.38x Exceptional
TRON 1.87x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.97x 1.35x Exceptional
Chainlink 3.72x 1.43x Exceptional
Sui 2.01x 1.24x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.43x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 2.64x 1.32x Exceptional
Avalanche 2.44x 1.42x Strong
Litecoin 1.92x 1.39x Strong
Gram 1.02x 1.02x Quiet
Shiba Inu 2.65x 1.33x Strong
Uniswap 3.02x 1.34x Exceptional
Polkadot 2.00x 1.32x Strong
Aave 3.33x 1.38x Exceptional
Bittensor 2.85x 1.40x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 2.03x 1.24x Strong
Aptos 2.00x 1.41x Strong
Internet Computer 1.47x 1.45x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.15x 1.40x Strong
Filecoin 1.01x 1.27x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Aptos

Questions about this page

Is 2.00x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.41x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Aptos moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.