How BNB reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 21 June 2018

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, BNB's price swung 8.37 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.42 times is usual. An hour later the price was 7.53% higher.

8.37x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
15.07x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.67x
Price at 8:30 AM
$15.94
15 minutes later
+4.45%
One hour later
+7.53%
range 9.03%, hour before 1.19%
BNB/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
16.09
Close
17.24
24h change
6.67%
24h high
17.38
24h low
15.87
24h volume
3.592M BNB

Measured by Clometrix

BNB's volatility ratio was 8.37x, against 1.42x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 15.07x, against a typical 1.67x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How BNB moved

BNB was at $15.94 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 4.45% higher, and an hour later 7.53% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 9.03% of its price, against 1.19% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 21 June 2018 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 218K for the week ending 16th Jun, from 222K in the week ending 9th Jun.

It arrived at the same moment as Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved BNB about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.50x across 94, against 1.40x across 209. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 8.37x compares with 1.40x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, BNB's median volatility ratio is 1.42x.

How it compares

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, BNB's usual price swing is 1.42x. This one was 5.88 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.42x. Thick line: this release, 8.37x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 15.97 15.94 15.96 0.13% 0.19% 0.31% 1,215 BNB
5 minutes 16.07 15.94 16.07 0.81% 0.81% 0.31% 16,622 BNB
10 minutes 16.40 15.94 16.40 2.80% 2.80% 0.50% 126,900 BNB
15 minutes 16.80 15.94 16.65 4.26% 5.12% 0.62% 306,742 BNB
30 minutes 16.85 15.94 16.84 5.34% 5.40% 0.93% 580,230 BNB
1 hour 17.38 15.94 17.14 7.00% 8.29% 1.18% 1.218M BNB
2 hours 17.38 15.94 16.64 4.21% 8.29% 1.24% 1.625M BNB
4 hours 17.38 15.94 16.74 4.78% 8.29% 2.88% 1.987M BNB
6 hours 17.38 15.94 16.80 5.12% 8.29% 3.53% 2.208M BNB
8 hours 17.38 15.87 16.74 2.51% 8.69% 2.84% 2.274M BNB
12 hours 17.38 15.94 17.24 7.54% 8.29% 3.99% 2.692M BNB

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 0.82x 1.50x Quiet
Ethereum 0.82x 1.46x Quiet
XRP 0.66x 1.18x Quiet
BNB 8.37x 1.42x Exceptional
TRON 1.23x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.36x 1.35x Quiet
Litecoin 0.94x 1.39x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for BNB

Questions about this page

Is 8.37x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.42x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range BNB moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.