How Cardano reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 26 April 2018

The short answer

An ordinary reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Cardano's price swung 1.58 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.35 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.30% lower.

1.58x

Ordinary

Trading (volume ratio)
1.38x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.63x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.2747
15 minutes later
+1.22%
One hour later
−0.30%
range 2.86%, hour before 1.30%
ADA/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.2582
Close
0.2925
24h change
11.74%
24h high
0.2940
24h low
0.2550
24h volume
66.221M ADA

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 26 April 2018 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 207K for the week ending 21st Apr, from 236K in the week ending 14th Apr.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.2747 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.22% higher, and an hour later 0.3% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.86% of its price, against 1.3% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 1.58x, against 1.35x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.38x, against a typical 1.63x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.30x across 94, against 1.35x across 207. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 2 May rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.58x compares with 1.30x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's median volatility ratio is 1.35x.

How it compares

Across 301 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Cardano's usual price swing is 1.35x. This one was 1.17 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.35x. Thick line: this release, 1.58x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.27554 0.27453 0.27465 0.00% 0.37% 0.03% 34,876 ADA
5 minutes 0.27554 0.27453 0.27476 0.04% 0.37% 0.24% 128,700 ADA
10 minutes 0.2786 0.27453 0.27763 1.07% 1.46% 0.59% 534,800 ADA
15 minutes 0.2789 0.27453 0.278 1.21% 1.57% 0.74% 826,370 ADA
30 minutes 0.279 0.27453 0.27842 1.35% 1.60% 1.10% 1.878M ADA
1 hour 0.279 0.27114 0.27382 -0.30% 2.82% 1.30% 4.762M ADA
2 hours 0.279 0.27114 0.27303 -0.59% 2.82% 2.66% 6.863M ADA
4 hours 0.28 0.27114 0.2798 1.84% 3.16% 5.11% 11.149M ADA
6 hours 0.28257 0.27114 0.28095 2.24% 4.05% 5.35% 15.413M ADA
8 hours 0.28 0.26225 0.2798 3.23% 6.34% 8.60% 21.633M ADA
12 hours 0.29396 0.27114 0.2925 6.10% 7.76% 8.60% 31.578M ADA

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 0.93x 1.50x Quiet
Ethereum 1.73x 1.46x Ordinary
BNB 1.29x 1.42x Quiet
Cardano 1.58x 1.35x Ordinary
Litecoin 1.05x 1.39x Quiet

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Cardano

Questions about this page

Is 1.58x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is ordinary: the usual is 1.35x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Cardano moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.