How Sui reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 12 October 2023

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Sui's price swung 1.98 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.24 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.17% higher.

1.98x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
4.10x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.50x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.4071
15 minutes later
0.00%
One hour later
+0.17%
range 0.76%, hour before 0.61%
SUI/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.4083
Close
0.4069
24h change
-0.34%
24h high
0.4129
24h low
0.4006
24h volume
18.89M SUI

Measured by Clometrix

Sui's volatility ratio was 1.98x, against 1.24x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 4.10x, against a typical 1.50x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Sui moved

Sui was at $0.4071 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was unchanged, and an hour later 0.17% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.76% of its price, against 0.61% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 12 October 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 210K for the week ending 7th Oct, from 216K in the week ending 30th Sep.

It arrived at the same moment as Consumer Price Index, Core Consumer Price Index, Core Inflation Rate and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Sui more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.35x across 54, against 1.10x across 122. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.98x compares with 1.10x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 176 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Sui's median volatility ratio is 1.24x.

How it compares

Across 176 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Sui's usual price swing is 1.24x. This one was 1.60 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.24x. Thick line: this release, 1.98x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.4071 0.4059 0.4066 -0.12% 0.29% 0.10% 198,817 SUI
5 minutes 0.4079 0.4059 0.4069 -0.05% 0.49% 0.20% 250,910 SUI
10 minutes 0.4083 0.4059 0.4081 0.25% 0.59% 0.27% 429,631 SUI
15 minutes 0.4083 0.4059 0.4071 0.00% 0.59% 0.29% 509,159 SUI
30 minutes 0.4083 0.4059 0.4075 0.10% 0.59% 0.54% 942,033 SUI
1 hour 0.409 0.4059 0.4078 0.17% 0.76% 0.61% 1.381M SUI
2 hours 0.409 0.4059 0.4065 -0.15% 0.76% 0.93% 2.017M SUI
4 hours 0.4092 0.4006 0.4046 -0.62% 2.10% 2.69% 4.461M SUI
6 hours 0.4092 0.4006 0.4042 -0.72% 2.10% 2.86% 7.139M SUI
8 hours 0.4122 0.4006 0.4046 -1.78% 2.81% 1.99% 8.744M SUI
12 hours 0.4092 0.4006 0.4069 -0.05% 2.10% 2.86% 10.17M SUI

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.43x 1.52x Strong
Ethereum 2.47x 1.47x Strong
XRP 1.63x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.80x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 2.00x 1.39x Strong
Dogecoin 2.00x 1.39x Strong
TRON 2.36x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 1.66x 1.35x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.35x 1.43x Quiet
Sui 1.98x 1.24x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.82x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 1.50x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.02x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 2.14x 1.38x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.48x 1.34x Quiet
Uniswap 2.95x 1.35x Exceptional
Polkadot 2.00x 1.31x Strong
Aave 1.74x 1.38x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol Not measured 1.24x -
Aptos 1.51x 1.41x Ordinary
Internet Computer 2.01x 1.46x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.60x 1.42x Ordinary
Filecoin 2.01x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Sui

Questions about this page

Is 1.98x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.24x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Sui moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Do weekly jobless claims move crypto?

Weekly jobless claims have a median Bitcoin price swing of 1.52x since 2021, which places Initial Claims and Continued Claims in Tier 3. They are released at 8:30 a.m. ET. When a claims release falls on the same minute as a bigger report, such as CPI, the reaction belongs to both. Clometrix measures 296 claims releases in the record since 2021.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.