How Litecoin reacted to Initial Jobless Claims on 12 October 2023

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Litecoin's price swung 2.14 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For an Initial Claims release, 1.39 times is usual. An hour later the price was unchanged.

2.14x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.23x
usual for Initial Claims: 1.59x
Price at 8:30 AM
$61.13
15 minutes later
+0.21%
One hour later
+0.03%
range 0.62%, hour before 0.75%
LTC/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
61.39
Close
61.32
24h change
-0.11%
24h high
61.42
24h low
60.33
24h volume
282,339 LTC

Measured by Clometrix

Litecoin's volatility ratio was 2.14x, against 1.39x for a typical Initial Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.23x, against a typical 1.59x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Litecoin moved

Litecoin was at $61.13 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.21% higher, and an hour later unchanged. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.62% of its price, against 0.75% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 12 October 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 210K for the week ending 7th Oct, from 216K in the week ending 30th Sep.

It arrived at the same moment as Consumer Price Index, Core Consumer Price Index, Core Inflation Rate and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Initial Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Litecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.42x across 94, against 1.35x across 209. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.14x compares with 1.35x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Litecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.39x.

How it compares

Across 303 Initial Claims releases since 2021, Litecoin's usual price swing is 1.39x. This one was 1.54 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Initial Claims's usual, 1.39x. Thick line: this release, 2.14x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 61.13 60.98 61.03 -0.16% 0.25% 0.10% 767 LTC
5 minutes 61.20 60.98 61.10 -0.05% 0.36% 0.16% 1,797 LTC
10 minutes 61.28 60.98 61.24 0.18% 0.49% 0.20% 3,644 LTC
15 minutes 61.28 60.98 61.26 0.21% 0.49% 0.20% 4,522 LTC
30 minutes 61.28 60.98 61.18 0.08% 0.49% 0.33% 7,346 LTC
1 hour 61.36 60.98 61.15 0.03% 0.62% 0.75% 12,065 LTC
2 hours 61.36 60.91 61.05 -0.13% 0.73% 0.82% 22,441 LTC
4 hours 61.36 60.36 60.93 -0.33% 1.63% 1.61% 65,124 LTC
6 hours 61.40 60.36 61.30 0.28% 1.69% 1.71% 98,861 LTC
8 hours 61.36 60.33 60.93 -0.36% 1.68% 1.38% 123,938 LTC
12 hours 61.40 60.36 61.32 0.31% 1.69% 1.77% 138,328 LTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Initial Claims Reaction
Bitcoin 2.43x 1.50x Strong
Ethereum 2.47x 1.46x Strong
XRP 1.63x 1.18x Strong
BNB 1.80x 1.42x Ordinary
Solana 2.00x 1.38x Strong
Dogecoin 2.00x 1.38x Strong
TRON 2.36x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 1.66x 1.35x Ordinary
Chainlink 1.35x 1.43x Quiet
Sui 1.98x 1.24x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 1.82x 1.34x Strong
Hedera 1.50x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.02x 1.42x Quiet
Litecoin 2.14x 1.39x Strong
Shiba Inu 1.48x 1.33x Quiet
Uniswap 2.95x 1.34x Exceptional
Polkadot 2.00x 1.32x Strong
Aave 1.74x 1.38x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol Not measured 1.24x -
Aptos 1.51x 1.41x Ordinary
Internet Computer 2.01x 1.45x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.60x 1.40x Ordinary
Filecoin 2.01x 1.27x Strong

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Initial claims are new jobless claims filed by U.S. workers seeking unemployment compensation, included in the unemployment insurance weekly claims report. The report, published since 1967, includes a separate count of workers receiving unemployment insurance benefits, known as continuing claims.

Every Initial Claims release for Litecoin

Questions about this page

Is 2.14x a lot?

For an Initial Claims release it is strong: the usual is 1.39x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Initial Claims do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Litecoin moved in after past Initial Claims releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.