How Litecoin reacted to the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision on 13 June 2018

The short answer

A muted reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Litecoin's price swung 2.10 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Fed Interest Rate release, 3.37 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.67% lower.

2.10x

Muted

Trading (volume ratio)
1.82x
usual for Fed Interest Rate: 4.56x
Price at 2:00 PM
$94.02
15 minutes later
−0.09%
One hour later
−0.67%
range 2.65%, hour before 3.96%
LTC/USDT, 5 minutes candles around the release, 2:00 PM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
99.16
Close
95.83
24h change
-3.47%
24h high
99.87
24h low
86.71
24h volume
189,035 LTC

The release

Released by the Federal Open Market Committee on 13 June 2018 at 2:00 PM EDT. The Federal Open Market Committee raised its target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, to 1.75–2.00%.

How Litecoin moved

Litecoin was at $94.02 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.09% lower, and an hour later 0.67% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.65% of its price, against 3.96% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Litecoin's volatility ratio was 2.10x, against 3.37x for a typical Fed Interest Rate release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.82x, against a typical 4.56x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Fed decisions that changed the rate have moved Litecoin more than those that held it: a median volatility ratio of 4.17x across 18, against 2.41x across 29. This one changed the rate. Its own ratio of 2.10x compares with 4.17x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 47 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021, Litecoin's median volatility ratio is 3.37x.

How it compares

Across 47 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021, Litecoin's usual price swing is 3.37x. This one was 0.62 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Fed Interest Rate's usual, 3.37x. Thick line: this release, 2.10x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 94.92 93.91 94.84 0.86% 1.06% 0.57% 212 LTC
5 minutes 95.23 93.91 94.73 0.75% 1.39% 0.70% 896 LTC
10 minutes 95.24 93.91 94.29 0.29% 1.40% 1.70% 2,092 LTC
15 minutes 95.24 93.34 93.94 -0.09% 1.99% 2.51% 3,051 LTC
30 minutes 95.24 93.00 93.02 -1.08% 2.35% 2.68% 4,861 LTC
1 hour 95.24 92.75 93.39 -0.67% 2.61% 3.95% 7,913 LTC
2 hours 95.24 91.16 91.84 -2.37% 4.28% 7.85% 14,481 LTC
4 hours 95.24 90.75 91.85 -2.36% 4.71% 8.51% 28,059 LTC
6 hours 95.24 90.75 93.37 -0.70% 4.71% 9.95% 41,588 LTC
8 hours 95.24 86.71 91.85 -3.02% 8.96% 6.88% 75,509 LTC
12 hours 97.18 90.75 95.83 1.89% 6.62% 13.18% 87,627 LTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Fed Interest Rate Reaction
Bitcoin 2.08x 4.24x Muted
Ethereum 1.64x 4.08x Muted
XRP 4.92x 3.61x Strong
BNB 1.18x 3.05x Quiet
TRON 8.10x 2.50x Exceptional
Cardano 3.97x 3.31x Ordinary
Litecoin 2.10x 3.37x Muted

What is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has eight regularly scheduled meetings each year, but they can meet more often if the need should arise. The meetings are not held in public and are therefore the subject of much speculation on Wall Street, as analysts attempt to predict whether the Fed will tighten or loosen the money supply with a resulting increase or decrease in interest rates.

Every Fed Interest Rate release for Litecoin

Questions about this page

Is 2.10x a lot?

For a Fed Interest Rate release it is muted: the usual is 3.37x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Fed Interest Rate do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Litecoin moved in after past Fed Interest Rate releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

Why does Bitcoin move when US economic data comes out?

Bitcoin often shows larger price swings in the minutes after major US economic reports. Those reports change expectations about interest rates, inflation and economic growth. Clometrix measures the size of the resulting price swings, not their direction. Tier 1 reports such as CPI, Core CPI and Core Inflation have a median Bitcoin price swing of 4.29x since 2021.

Which US economic reports move crypto the most?

The reports with the largest median Bitcoin price swings since 2021 are CPI, Core CPI and Core Inflation at 4.29x, the Fed Interest Rate at 4.24x, and Non-Farm Payrolls together with Non-Farm Private Payrolls and the Unemployment Rate at 3.20x. These are Tier 1. Clometrix sets tiers from the median Bitcoin price swing since 2021. Tier 1 means at least 3 times an ordinary 15 minutes.

Does Ethereum react to US data the same way Bitcoin does?

Ethereum's median price swings since 2021 are close to Bitcoin's for most reports. For CPI, Core CPI and Core Inflation the median is 4.37x for Ethereum and 4.29x for Bitcoin. For the Fed Interest Rate it is 4.08x versus 4.24x.

What time does the Fed announce its interest rate decision?

The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET. Clometrix measures the 15 minutes from that statement. The median Bitcoin price swing for the Fed Interest Rate since 2021 is 4.24x across 47 releases. Clometrix shows each release in the reader's own time zone.

Does Clometrix measure the Fed chair's press conference?

No. Clometrix measures the 15 minutes from the 2:00 p.m. statement. It does not measure the press conference separately. The Fed Interest Rate has a median Bitcoin price swing of 4.24x since 2021.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.