Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Federal Open Market Committee on 10 December 2025 at 2:00 PM EST. The Federal Open Market Committee cut its target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, to 3.50–3.75%.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $92,503.49 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.54% higher, and an hour later 0.49% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.69% of its price, against 1.14% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 5.31x, against 4.29x for a typical Fed Interest Rate release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 9.17x, against a typical 5.81x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, Fed decisions that changed the rate have moved Bitcoin more than those that held it: a median volatility ratio of 5.37x across 18, against 3.31x across 28. This one changed the rate. Its own ratio of 5.31x compares with 5.37x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.
Its record
Across 46 Fed Interest Rate releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.29x.
What it means
Bitcoin registered an ordinary reaction to the December 2025 Federal Open Market Committee decision. The volatility ratio reached 5.31x in the quarter hour after the 2:00 PM statement, close to the 5.37x median recorded for the 18 prior releases that altered the target range. Volume expanded 9.17x against its baseline, above the 5.81x typical for the event.
The price path stayed measured. Bitcoin stood at $92,503.49 at release, rose 0.54 percent in the first fifteen minutes and 0.49 percent after one hour, while its hourly range widened to 1.69 percent from 1.14 percent beforehand.
These readings sit squarely within the event record. The median volatility ratio across 46 Fed rate decisions since 2021 equals 4.29x, and decisions that change the rate have produced larger moves than holds.
Traders may observe that rate adjustments continue to coincide with above-average activity relative to unchanged settings, yet the scale observed here remained consistent with releases sharing the same circumstances.
About Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has eight regularly scheduled meetings each year, but they can meet more often if the need should arise. The meetings are not held in public and are therefore the subject of much speculation on Wall Street, as analysts attempt to predict whether the Fed will tighten or loosen the money supply with a resulting increase or decrease in interest rates.
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
92,700.01Close
90,301.3524h Change
-2398.66 (-2.66%)24h High
94,476.0024h Low
89,389.6324h Volume
21,956 BTCUS Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Federal Open Market Committee
10th December, 2025, 2:00PM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 92377.26 | 92538.52 | 92365.25 | 92503.48 | 0.14% | 0.19% | 17 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 93243.59 | 92503.49 | 92920.00 | 0.45% | 0.79% | 324 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 92461.29 | 92538.52 | 92067.65 | 92503.48 | 0.05% | 0.51% | 88 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 93243.59 | 91684.39 | 92015.76 | -0.53% | 1.67% | 964 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 92687.09 | 92687.09 | 92067.65 | 92503.48 | -0.20% | 0.67% | 154 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 93243.59 | 91684.39 | 92704.46 | 0.22% | 1.67% | 1,283 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 92582.12 | 92814.03 | 92067.65 | 92503.48 | -0.09% | 0.80% | 235 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 93243.59 | 91684.39 | 93001.71 | 0.54% | 1.67% | 1,478 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 92254.00 | 93056.00 | 92067.65 | 92503.48 | 0.27% | 1.06% | 617 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 93243.59 | 91684.39 | 92467.72 | -0.04% | 1.67% | 1,885 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 92396.23 | 93056.00 | 92000.00 | 92503.48 | 0.12% | 1.13% | 871 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 93243.59 | 91684.39 | 92957.67 | 0.49% | 1.67% | 3,166 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 92174.11 | 93056.00 | 92000.00 | 92503.48 | 0.36% | 1.13% | 1,469 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 94476.00 | 91684.39 | 92453.89 | -0.05% | 2.95% | 6,320 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 91831.24 | 93056.00 | 91563.15 | 92503.48 | 0.73% | 1.60% | 2,994 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 94476.00 | 91684.39 | 92509.94 | 0.01% | 2.95% | 7,906 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 91987.22 | 93056.00 | 91563.15 | 92503.48 | 0.56% | 1.60% | 4,310 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 94476.00 | 91051.00 | 91386.17 | -1.22% | 3.63% | 9,154 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 92700.01 | 93291.50 | 91600.81 | 91831.24 | -0.95% | 1.81% | 4,771 BTC |
| During | 91831.24 | 94476.00 | 91563.15 | 92509.94 | 0.73% | 3.08% | 10,900 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 92700.01 | 93291.50 | 91563.15 | 92503.48 | -0.21% | 1.85% | 7,765 BTC |
| During | 92503.49 | 94476.00 | 89389.63 | 90301.35 | -2.44% | 5.38% | 14,191 BTC |
