How Litecoin reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 23 December 2022

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Litecoin's price swung 8.30 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.34 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.08% lower.

8.30x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
18.55x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.42x
Price at 8:30 AM
$65.47
15 minutes later
+0.57%
One hour later
−0.08%
range 2.00%, hour before 0.98%
LTC/USDT, 1 minute candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
66.13
Close
65.56
24h change
-0.87%
24h high
66.72
24h low
64.91
24h volume
366,173 LTC

Measured by Clometrix

Litecoin's volatility ratio was 8.30x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 18.55x, against a typical 1.42x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Litecoin moved

Litecoin was at $65.47 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.57% higher, and an hour later 0.08% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2% of its price, against 0.98% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 23 December 2022 at 8:30 AM EST. Durable Goods Orders came in at -2.8% for November 2022, against 1.6% in October 2022. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Litecoin about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.24x across 20, against 1.41x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 8.30x compares with 1.41x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Litecoin's median volatility ratio is 1.34x.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Litecoin's usual price swing is 1.34x. This one was 6.20 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.34x. Thick line: this release, 8.30x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 65.81 64.91 65.80 0.50% 1.37% 0.50% 16,514 LTC
5 minutes 65.89 64.91 65.58 0.17% 1.49% 0.74% 31,750 LTC
10 minutes 66.22 64.91 66.04 0.86% 1.98% 0.74% 42,529 LTC
15 minutes 66.22 64.91 65.84 0.56% 1.98% 0.80% 48,054 LTC
30 minutes 66.22 64.91 65.63 0.24% 1.98% 0.83% 60,008 LTC
1 hour 66.22 64.91 65.42 -0.08% 1.98% 0.97% 71,145 LTC
2 hours 66.22 64.91 65.66 0.29% 1.98% 0.97% 91,625 LTC
4 hours 66.22 64.91 65.50 0.05% 1.98% 0.97% 114,087 LTC
6 hours 66.22 64.91 65.64 0.26% 1.98% 1.04% 131,272 LTC
8 hours 66.22 64.91 65.50 -0.27% 1.98% 1.81% 162,611 LTC
12 hours 66.22 64.91 65.56 0.14% 1.98% 1.89% 172,676 LTC

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 10.85x 1.44x Exceptional
Ethereum 11.77x 1.38x Exceptional
XRP 5.57x 1.13x Exceptional
BNB 7.26x 1.28x Exceptional
Solana 5.05x 1.32x Exceptional
Dogecoin 8.51x 1.49x Exceptional
TRON 6.59x 1.33x Exceptional
Cardano 4.43x 1.33x Exceptional
Chainlink 4.55x 1.48x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 8.05x 1.31x Exceptional
Hedera 3.99x 1.32x Exceptional
Avalanche 6.41x 1.44x Exceptional
Litecoin 8.30x 1.34x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 7.56x 1.30x Exceptional
Uniswap 5.95x 1.26x Exceptional
Polkadot 6.03x 1.27x Exceptional
Aave 3.55x 1.37x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 2.01x 1.29x Strong
Aptos 5.03x 1.34x Exceptional
Internet Computer 4.93x 1.11x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 8.28x 1.29x Exceptional
Filecoin 5.05x 1.34x Exceptional

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Litecoin

Questions about this page

Is 8.30x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.34x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Litecoin moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.