How Hedera reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 27 October 2022

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Hedera's price swung 1.95 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.32 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.83% higher.

1.95x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
3.51x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.54x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.060100
15 minutes later
+0.83%
One hour later
+0.83%
range 1.33%, hour before 1.00%
HBAR/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.060800
Close
0.058800
24h change
-3.40%
24h high
0.061900
24h low
0.058100
24h volume
96.207M HBAR

Measured by Clometrix

Hedera's volatility ratio was 1.95x, against 1.32x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.51x, against a typical 1.54x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Hedera moved

Hedera was at $0.060100 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.83% higher, and an hour later 0.83% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.33% of its price, against 1% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 27 October 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at 0.0% for September 2022, against -0.7% in August 2022. Durable goods orders are rising again, after a fall.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Hedera about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.32x across 20, against 1.30x across 49. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 2 November rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.95x compares with 1.32x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Hedera's median volatility ratio is 1.32x.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Hedera's usual price swing is 1.32x. This one was 1.49 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.32x. Thick line: this release, 1.95x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.0605 0.06 0.0605 0.66% 0.83% 0.17% 511,379 HBAR
5 minutes 0.0605 0.06 0.0603 0.33% 0.83% 0.33% 1.721M HBAR
10 minutes 0.0606 0.06 0.0603 0.33% 0.99% 0.66% 2.11M HBAR
15 minutes 0.0606 0.06 0.0606 0.83% 0.99% 0.66% 2.571M HBAR
30 minutes 0.0608 0.06 0.0608 1.15% 1.32% 0.66% 4.485M HBAR
1 hour 0.0608 0.06 0.0606 0.83% 1.32% 0.99% 6.994M HBAR
2 hours 0.0609 0.0596 0.0603 0.33% 2.13% 1.16% 13.026M HBAR
4 hours 0.0609 0.0595 0.0596 -0.84% 2.30% 1.97% 21.492M HBAR
6 hours 0.0609 0.0592 0.0593 -1.35% 2.79% 3.55% 28.354M HBAR
8 hours 0.0609 0.0595 0.0596 -2.01% 2.30% 3.07% 38.006M HBAR
12 hours 0.0609 0.0581 0.0588 -2.21% 4.60% 3.55% 52.655M HBAR

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 4.63x 1.44x Exceptional
Ethereum 5.93x 1.38x Exceptional
XRP 2.95x 1.13x Exceptional
BNB 3.05x 1.28x Exceptional
Solana 2.99x 1.32x Exceptional
Dogecoin 1.56x 1.49x Ordinary
TRON 2.64x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 3.11x 1.33x Exceptional
Chainlink 2.77x 1.48x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 3.61x 1.31x Exceptional
Hedera 1.95x 1.32x Strong
Avalanche 2.31x 1.44x Strong
Litecoin 3.59x 1.34x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 1.69x 1.30x Ordinary
Uniswap 2.59x 1.26x Exceptional
Polkadot 2.04x 1.27x Strong
Aave 2.72x 1.37x Strong
NEAR Protocol 2.51x 1.29x Strong
Internet Computer 1.97x 1.11x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 3.23x 1.29x Exceptional
Filecoin 1.78x 1.34x Strong

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Hedera

Questions about this page

Is 1.95x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is strong: the usual is 1.32x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Hedera moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.