ETH Volatility Analysis for Durable Orders, 27th October 2020

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 27 October 2020 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at 1.6% for September 2020, against 1.4% in August 2020. Durable goods orders are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $402.46 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.11% higher, and an hour later 0.73% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.2% of its price, against 0.92% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.57x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.00x, against a typical 1.57x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.66x across 19, against 1.30x across 49. This one came out 9 days before the Federal Reserve's 5 November rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.57x compares with 1.66x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 68 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Ethereum's median volatility ratio is 1.34x.

About Durable Goods Orders

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

395.39

Close

405.02

24h Change

9.63 (2.38%)

24h High

410.25

24h Low

389.90

24h Volume

749,754 ETH

US Durable Goods Orders

Bureau of Census

27th October, 2020, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before402.70402.86402.37402.46-0.06%0.12%462 ETH
During402.46402.77402.45402.500.01%0.08%573 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before402.61402.86402.10402.46-0.04%0.19%4,240 ETH
During402.46403.27402.10403.270.20%0.29%2,478 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before402.08403.50402.02402.460.09%0.37%10,047 ETH
During402.46404.44402.10403.250.20%0.58%8,512 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before401.66403.50400.99402.460.20%0.62%12,548 ETH
During402.46404.44402.10402.890.11%0.58%11,389 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before402.29403.50400.54402.460.04%0.73%24,835 ETH
During402.46404.93401.98403.710.31%0.73%22,365 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before402.00403.50399.80402.460.11%0.92%57,819 ETH
During402.46406.79401.98405.380.72%1.18%48,886 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before394.11403.50393.53402.462.07%2.47%129,994 ETH
During402.46406.79401.00401.18-0.32%1.42%90,970 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before393.67403.50389.90402.462.18%3.37%183,539 ETH
During402.46409.00401.00408.201.41%1.96%185,044 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before392.71403.50389.90402.462.42%3.37%221,373 ETH
During402.46410.25401.00404.400.48%2.25%290,576 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before395.39395.92391.59393.67-0.44%1.09%130,692 ETH
During393.67409.00389.90408.203.56%4.67%368,583 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before395.39403.50389.90402.461.76%3.37%314,231 ETH
During402.46410.25401.00405.020.63%2.25%435,523 ETH

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