How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 27 June 2022

The short answer

Hardly a reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, POL (prev. MATIC)'s price swung 0.93 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.29 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.52% higher.

0.93x

Quiet

Trading (volume ratio)
1.72x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.53x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.5720
15 minutes later
+0.17%
One hour later
+0.52%
range 1.22%, hour before 2.62%
POL/USDT, 30 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.5640
Close
0.5360
24h change
-5.22%
24h high
0.5970
24h low
0.5200
24h volume
144.06M POL

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 27 June 2022 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at -0.1% for May 2022, against 0.6% in April 2022. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 0.93x, against 1.29x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.72x, against a typical 1.53x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.5720 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.17% higher, and an hour later 0.52% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.22% of its price, against 2.62% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.32x across 20, against 1.29x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 0.93x compares with 1.29x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.29x. This one was 0.72 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.29x. Thick line: this release, 0.93x. Under 1.5x counts as no reaction at all.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.573 0.57 0.571 -0.18% 0.52% 0.35% 532,230 POL
5 minutes 0.574 0.57 0.572 0.00% 0.70% 0.70% 925,450 POL
10 minutes 0.575 0.57 0.574 0.35% 0.87% 1.21% 1.275M POL
15 minutes 0.575 0.57 0.573 0.17% 0.87% 1.89% 1.972M POL
30 minutes 0.575 0.57 0.574 0.35% 0.87% 2.06% 3.174M POL
1 hour 0.577 0.57 0.575 0.52% 1.21% 2.56% 5.528M POL
2 hours 0.578 0.541 0.541 -5.73% 6.40% 3.87% 27.041M POL
4 hours 0.578 0.528 0.534 -7.12% 8.65% 4.36% 47.658M POL
6 hours 0.578 0.52 0.539 -6.12% 10.03% 5.86% 61.633M POL
8 hours 0.597 0.528 0.534 -9.74% 11.56% 5.26% 70.338M POL
12 hours 0.578 0.52 0.536 -6.72% 10.03% 6.53% 86.431M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 0.73x 1.44x Quiet
Ethereum 0.90x 1.38x Quiet
XRP 0.78x 1.13x Quiet
BNB 1.09x 1.28x Quiet
Solana 0.70x 1.32x Quiet
Dogecoin 0.79x 1.49x Quiet
TRON 0.86x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 0.76x 1.33x Quiet
Chainlink 0.60x 1.48x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.00x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 1.18x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 0.97x 1.44x Quiet
Litecoin 0.98x 1.34x Quiet
Shiba Inu 1.30x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 0.79x 1.26x Quiet
Polkadot 0.78x 1.27x Quiet
Aave 1.18x 1.37x Quiet
NEAR Protocol 0.97x 1.29x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.22x 1.11x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 0.93x 1.29x Quiet
Filecoin 1.00x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 0.93x a lot?

No. Under 1.5x the market barely noticed the release.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.