How XRP reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 25 February 2022

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, XRP's price swung 2.01 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.13 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.52% lower.

2.01x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.86x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.31x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.7144
15 minutes later
+0.71%
One hour later
−0.52%
range 2.44%, hour before 1.71%
XRP/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.7024
Close
0.7757
24h change
9.45%
24h high
0.7955
24h low
0.6826
24h volume
593.193M XRP

Measured by Clometrix

XRP's volatility ratio was 2.01x, against 1.13x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.86x, against a typical 1.31x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How XRP moved

XRP was at $0.7144 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.71% higher, and an hour later 0.52% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.44% of its price, against 1.71% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 25 February 2022 at 8:30 AM EST. Durable Goods Orders came in at 1.2% for January 2022, against 3.3% in December 2021. Durable goods orders are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Personal Income and Outlays, Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved XRP more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.46x across 18, against 1.13x across 47. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 2.01x compares with 1.13x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 65 Durable Orders releases since 2021, XRP's median volatility ratio is 1.13x.

How it compares

Across 65 Durable Orders releases since 2021, XRP's usual price swing is 1.13x. This one was 1.77 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.13x. Thick line: this release, 2.01x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.7144 0.7129 0.7136 -0.11% 0.21% 0.25% 443,918 XRP
5 minutes 0.723 0.7129 0.7226 1.13% 1.40% 0.38% 5.549M XRP
10 minutes 0.7249 0.7129 0.7213 0.96% 1.66% 0.39% 9.762M XRP
15 minutes 0.7249 0.7129 0.7195 0.71% 1.66% 0.53% 12.8M XRP
30 minutes 0.7249 0.7099 0.7135 -0.13% 2.07% 0.85% 20.957M XRP
1 hour 0.7249 0.7075 0.7107 -0.52% 2.40% 1.70% 31.037M XRP
2 hours 0.7249 0.7014 0.7096 -0.68% 3.24% 3.17% 59.385M XRP
4 hours 0.7249 0.7014 0.7095 -0.69% 3.24% 4.66% 94.66M XRP
6 hours 0.751 0.7014 0.7246 1.41% 6.60% 4.66% 164.762M XRP
8 hours 0.7249 0.6826 0.7095 3.66% 5.84% 3.14% 180.632M XRP
12 hours 0.7955 0.7014 0.7757 7.90% 11.83% 4.66% 377.607M XRP

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 1.72x 1.44x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.19x 1.38x Quiet
XRP 2.01x 1.13x Strong
BNB 1.45x 1.28x Quiet
Solana 2.19x 1.32x Strong
Dogecoin 1.72x 1.49x Ordinary
TRON 1.39x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.92x 1.33x Strong
Chainlink 1.45x 1.48x Quiet
Bitcoin Cash 1.26x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 1.66x 1.32x Ordinary
Avalanche 1.89x 1.44x Strong
Litecoin 1.64x 1.34x Ordinary
Shiba Inu 1.71x 1.30x Strong
Uniswap 1.23x 1.26x Quiet
Polkadot 1.58x 1.27x Ordinary
Aave 2.16x 1.37x Strong
NEAR Protocol 1.21x 1.29x Quiet
Internet Computer 0.85x 1.11x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.01x 1.29x Quiet
Filecoin 1.20x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for XRP

Questions about this page

Is 2.01x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is strong: the usual is 1.13x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range XRP moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.