How TRON reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 27 February 2023

The short answer

An exceptional reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, TRON's price swung 3.34 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.33 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.84% higher.

3.34x

Exceptional

Trading (volume ratio)
3.17x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.53x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.0687
15 minutes later
+0.44%
One hour later
+0.84%
range 1.00%, hour before 0.54%
TRX/USDT, 10 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.0694
Close
0.0697
24h change
0.44%
24h high
0.0698
24h low
0.0684
24h volume
311.091M TRX

Measured by Clometrix

TRON's volatility ratio was 3.34x, against 1.33x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.17x, against a typical 1.53x. That is more than twice what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How TRON moved

TRON was at $0.0687 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.44% higher, and an hour later 0.84% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1% of its price, against 0.54% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 27 February 2023 at 8:30 AM EST. Durable Goods Orders came in at -1.5% for January 2023, against 5.1% in December 2022. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved TRON more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.55x across 20, against 1.29x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 3.34x compares with 1.29x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, TRON's median volatility ratio is 1.33x.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, TRON's usual price swing is 1.33x. This one was 2.51 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.33x. Thick line: this release, 3.34x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.06876 0.06864 0.06874 0.07% 0.17% 0.09% 1.018M TRX
5 minutes 0.06893 0.06864 0.0689 0.30% 0.42% 0.17% 2.943M TRX
10 minutes 0.06909 0.06864 0.06897 0.41% 0.65% 0.20% 6.162M TRX
15 minutes 0.06917 0.06864 0.06899 0.43% 0.77% 0.23% 8.202M TRX
30 minutes 0.06917 0.06864 0.06908 0.56% 0.77% 0.44% 12.616M TRX
1 hour 0.06933 0.06864 0.06927 0.84% 1.00% 0.54% 22.627M TRX
2 hours 0.06938 0.06864 0.06932 0.91% 1.07% 0.73% 41.713M TRX
4 hours 0.06939 0.06862 0.069 0.45% 1.11% 0.73% 81.576M TRX
6 hours 0.06939 0.06862 0.06905 0.52% 1.11% 0.93% 106.383M TRX
8 hours 0.06939 0.06841 0.069 0.59% 1.41% 1.47% 133.075M TRX
12 hours 0.06983 0.06862 0.06971 1.46% 1.73% 1.68% 164.97M TRX

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 4.40x 1.44x Exceptional
Ethereum 3.88x 1.38x Exceptional
XRP 1.89x 1.13x Strong
BNB 2.02x 1.28x Strong
Solana 3.04x 1.32x Exceptional
Dogecoin 2.39x 1.49x Strong
TRON 3.34x 1.33x Exceptional
Cardano 2.46x 1.33x Strong
Chainlink 3.30x 1.48x Exceptional
Bitcoin Cash 3.00x 1.31x Exceptional
Hedera 3.49x 1.32x Exceptional
Avalanche 2.79x 1.44x Strong
Litecoin 2.18x 1.34x Strong
Shiba Inu 2.33x 1.30x Strong
Uniswap 3.42x 1.26x Exceptional
Polkadot 3.93x 1.27x Exceptional
Aave 3.26x 1.37x Exceptional
NEAR Protocol 1.97x 1.29x Strong
Aptos 2.54x 1.34x Strong
Internet Computer 2.47x 1.11x Exceptional
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.03x 1.29x Strong
Filecoin 1.61x 1.34x Ordinary

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for TRON

Questions about this page

Is 3.34x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is exceptional: the usual is 1.33x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range TRON moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions ยท Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.