How Avalanche reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 25 July 2024

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, Avalanche's price swung 2.68 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.44 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.99% lower.

2.68x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
3.21x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.40x
Price at 8:30 AM
$27.29
15 minutes later
−1.14%
One hour later
−0.99%
range 2.09%, hour before 0.62%
AVAX/USDT, 15 minutes candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
28.41
Close
27.25
24h change
-4.26%
24h high
28.59
24h low
26.26
24h volume
2.447M AVAX

Measured by Clometrix

Avalanche's volatility ratio was 2.68x, against 1.44x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 3.21x, against a typical 1.40x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Avalanche moved

Avalanche was at $27.29 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.14% lower, and an hour later 0.99% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 2.09% of its price, against 0.62% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 25 July 2024 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at -2.0% for June 2024, against 0.0% in May 2024. Durable goods orders are falling faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, Gross Domestic Product Report, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Avalanche about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.45x across 20, against 1.44x across 49. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 31 July rate decision. Its own ratio of 2.68x compares with 1.45x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Avalanche's median volatility ratio is 1.44x.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, Avalanche's usual price swing is 1.44x. This one was 1.86 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.44x. Thick line: this release, 2.68x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 27.33 27.26 27.33 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% 1,691 AVAX
5 minutes 27.43 27.26 27.26 -0.11% 0.62% 0.40% 8,626 AVAX
10 minutes 27.43 27.16 27.18 -0.40% 0.98% 0.47% 21,410 AVAX
15 minutes 27.43 26.95 26.98 -1.15% 1.75% 0.51% 59,027 AVAX
30 minutes 27.43 26.89 27.03 -0.96% 1.97% 0.62% 93,709 AVAX
1 hour 27.43 26.86 27.02 -1.00% 2.08% 0.62% 148,267 AVAX
2 hours 27.43 26.65 27.18 -0.40% 2.84% 1.31% 290,111 AVAX
4 hours 27.47 26.65 27.15 -0.52% 2.99% 1.64% 493,094 AVAX
6 hours 27.47 26.65 26.96 -1.22% 2.99% 1.96% 610,537 AVAX
8 hours 27.52 26.65 27.15 -0.37% 3.16% 5.21% 679,379 AVAX
12 hours 27.62 26.26 27.25 -0.15% 4.92% 5.32% 1.286M AVAX

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 2.21x 1.44x Strong
Ethereum 2.62x 1.38x Strong
XRP 3.22x 1.13x Exceptional
BNB 2.53x 1.28x Strong
Solana 2.36x 1.32x Strong
Dogecoin 2.63x 1.49x Strong
TRON 2.34x 1.33x Strong
Cardano 2.52x 1.33x Strong
Chainlink 3.00x 1.48x Exceptional
Sui 2.13x 1.36x Strong
Bitcoin Cash 2.67x 1.31x Exceptional
Hedera 1.53x 1.32x Ordinary
Avalanche 2.68x 1.44x Strong
Litecoin 2.85x 1.34x Exceptional
Shiba Inu 2.54x 1.30x Strong
Uniswap 2.52x 1.26x Strong
Polkadot 2.01x 1.27x Strong
Aave 2.61x 1.37x Strong
Bittensor 1.54x 1.33x Ordinary
NEAR Protocol 2.19x 1.29x Strong
Aptos 2.01x 1.34x Strong
Internet Computer 1.89x 1.11x Strong
POL (prev. MATIC) 2.51x 1.29x Strong
Filecoin 3.01x 1.34x Exceptional

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for Avalanche

Questions about this page

Is 2.68x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is strong: the usual is 1.44x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range Avalanche moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.