How POL (prev. MATIC) reacted to Durable Goods Orders on 27 June 2023

The short answer

A strong reaction. In the 15 minutes after the figure came out, POL (prev. MATIC)'s price swung 1.76 times as much as in a normal 15 minutes that day. For a Durable Orders release, 1.29 times is usual. An hour later the price was 0.28% lower.

1.76x

Strong

Trading (volume ratio)
2.09x
usual for Durable Orders: 1.53x
Price at 8:30 AM
$0.6670
15 minutes later
+0.63%
One hour later
−0.28%
range 1.33%, hour before 0.97%
POL/USDT, 1 hour candles around the release, 8:30 AM America/New York

The dashed orange line is the release. Chart data from Binance.

Open
0.6459
Close
0.6475
24h change
0.25%
24h high
0.6723
24h low
0.6425
24h volume
62.47M POL

Measured by Clometrix

POL (prev. MATIC)'s volatility ratio was 1.76x, against 1.29x for a typical Durable Orders release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 2.09x, against a typical 1.53x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How POL (prev. MATIC) moved

POL (prev. MATIC) was at $0.6670 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.63% higher, and an hour later 0.28% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.33% of its price, against 0.97% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 27 June 2023 at 8:30 AM EDT. Durable Goods Orders came in at -0.2% for May 2023, against 0.3% in April 2023. Durable goods orders are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved POL (prev. MATIC) about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.32x across 20, against 1.29x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.76x compares with 1.29x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s median volatility ratio is 1.29x.

How it compares

Across 69 Durable Orders releases since 2021, POL (prev. MATIC)'s usual price swing is 1.29x. This one was 1.36 times the usual.

MutedOrdinaryStrongExceptional

Thin line: Durable Orders's usual, 1.29x. Thick line: this release, 1.76x.

Minute by minute

Each row is the time after the release, with the same length of time before it for comparison.

After High Low Close Change Range Range before Volume
1 minute 0.667 0.6667 0.667 0.00% 0.04% 0.07% 7,517 POL
5 minutes 0.6677 0.6663 0.6676 0.09% 0.21% 0.27% 120,851 POL
10 minutes 0.6702 0.6663 0.6699 0.43% 0.58% 0.34% 430,861 POL
15 minutes 0.6714 0.6663 0.6712 0.63% 0.76% 0.34% 995,334 POL
30 minutes 0.6714 0.6663 0.6688 0.27% 0.76% 0.60% 1.493M POL
1 hour 0.6714 0.6625 0.6651 -0.29% 1.33% 0.97% 4.041M POL
2 hours 0.6723 0.6625 0.6706 0.54% 1.46% 1.20% 8.775M POL
4 hours 0.6723 0.6563 0.6624 -0.69% 2.38% 1.64% 15.882M POL
6 hours 0.6723 0.6563 0.6672 0.03% 2.38% 2.73% 21.212M POL
8 hours 0.6723 0.6563 0.6624 0.14% 2.38% 3.38% 25.461M POL
12 hours 0.6723 0.6457 0.6475 -3.01% 3.96% 4.00% 36.614M POL

Every coin at this release

Coin Price swing Usual for Durable Orders Reaction
Bitcoin 1.53x 1.44x Ordinary
Ethereum 1.53x 1.38x Ordinary
XRP 1.13x 1.13x Quiet
BNB 1.86x 1.28x Strong
Solana 1.44x 1.32x Quiet
Dogecoin 1.26x 1.49x Quiet
TRON 1.18x 1.33x Quiet
Cardano 1.33x 1.33x Quiet
Chainlink 1.48x 1.48x Quiet
Sui 1.69x 1.36x Ordinary
Bitcoin Cash 1.10x 1.31x Quiet
Hedera 0.99x 1.32x Quiet
Avalanche 1.33x 1.44x Quiet
Litecoin 1.88x 1.34x Strong
Shiba Inu 0.99x 1.30x Quiet
Uniswap 0.50x 1.26x Quiet
Polkadot 1.00x 1.27x Quiet
Aave 2.73x 1.37x Strong
NEAR Protocol 0.00x 1.29x Quiet
Aptos 1.24x 1.34x Quiet
Internet Computer 1.00x 1.11x Quiet
POL (prev. MATIC) 1.76x 1.29x Strong
Filecoin 1.49x 1.34x Quiet

What is Durable Goods Orders?

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Every Durable Orders release for POL (prev. MATIC)

Questions about this page

Is 1.76x a lot?

For a Durable Orders release it is strong: the usual is 1.29x. Each report has its own usual size, and its releases show it.

Will the next Durable Orders do the same?

Nobody can say. A forecast shows the range POL (prev. MATIC) moved in after past Durable Orders releases, so you can plan for the likely size of the move.

More questions · Glossary

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.